Uccelli Raffaella, Binazzi Alessandra, Altavista Pierluigi, Belli Stefano, Comba Pietro, Mastrantonio Marina, Vanacore Nicola
Section of Toxicology and Biomedical Sciences, National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Environment (ENEA), Rome, Italy.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2007;22(11):781-90. doi: 10.1007/s10654-007-9173-7. Epub 2007 Sep 14.
Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a rare and devastating neurological disorder of the adult age with a prognosis of about 2-3 years from the onset of the disease. No clear cause has been identified but it seems to be a multifactorial disease with genetic and environmental components involved. Increments of mortality rates were observed since 1980 both in Italy and in many other countries. The objective of the present study is to describe the distribution of ALS mortality in Italy in the period 1980-2001 detecting single municipalities or clusters with high mortality levels for motor neuron disease (MND). ALS represents the main part (85%) of the MND group which is globally identified by the IX ICD (International Classification of Diseases and Causes of Death) 335.2 code. Death numbers and standardized mortality ratios (SMR) for MND were calculated for all Italian municipalities through the ENEA mortality database system (data source: National Institute of Statistics-ISTAT), using national mortality rates as reference. Subsequently, in order to detect municipal clusters, spatial analysis was performed. Out of the 8,099 Italian municipalities, 132 where characterized by SMR values higher than expected. Moreover 16 clusters with significant high relative risk values (RR) were identified, 12 out of them including only a single municipality. Only 22 of the municipalities with high SMR were included in the clusters. In conclusion, the two different epidemiological methodologies demonstrated to be widely complementary in detecting the geographical distribution of the disease in terms of risk for populations. A first selection of the priority areas where analytical studies should be carried on, in order to identify risk factors associated to ALS, is tentatively suggested.
肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)是一种罕见且严重的成人神经系统疾病,从发病起预后约为2至3年。目前尚未明确其病因,但似乎是一种涉及遗传和环境因素的多因素疾病。自1980年以来,意大利和许多其他国家的死亡率均有所上升。本研究的目的是描述1980 - 2001年期间意大利ALS死亡率的分布情况,找出运动神经元疾病(MND)死亡率高的单个城市或聚集区。ALS是MND组的主要部分(85%),在全球范围内由国际疾病分类(ICD)第九版335.2代码识别。通过意大利国家新技术、能源与可持续经济发展署(ENEA)死亡率数据库系统(数据来源:国家统计局 - ISTAT),以全国死亡率为参考,计算了意大利所有城市的MND死亡人数和标准化死亡率(SMR)。随后,为了检测城市聚集区,进行了空间分析。在意大利的8099个城市中,有132个城市的SMR值高于预期。此外,还识别出16个相对风险值(RR)显著较高的聚集区,其中12个仅包含一个城市。只有22个SMR值高的城市被纳入聚集区。总之,这两种不同的流行病学方法在检测疾病在人群风险方面的地理分布时被证明具有广泛的互补性。初步建议了首先应开展分析研究的优先区域,以确定与ALS相关的风险因素。