Markandya Anil, Wilkinson Paul
University of Bath, Bath, UK, and FEEM, Italy.
Lancet. 2007 Sep 15;370(9591):979-90. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(07)61253-7.
The provision of electricity has been a great benefit to society, particularly in health terms, but it also carries health costs. Comparison of different forms of commercial power generation by use of the fuel cycle methods developed in European studies shows the health burdens to be greatest for power stations that most pollute outdoor air (those based on lignite, coal, and oil). The health burdens are appreciably smaller for generation from natural gas, and lower still for nuclear power. This same ranking also applies in terms of greenhouse-gas emissions and thus, potentially, to long-term health, social, and economic effects arising from climate change. Nuclear power remains controversial, however, because of public concern about storage of nuclear waste, the potential for catastrophic accident or terrorist attack, and the diversion of fissionable material for weapons production. Health risks are smaller for nuclear fusion, but commercial exploitation will not be achieved in time to help the crucial near-term reduction in greenhouse-gas emissions. The negative effects on health of electricity generation from renewable sources have not been assessed as fully as those from conventional sources, but for solar, wind, and wave power, such effects seem to be small; those of biofuels depend on the type of fuel and the mode of combustion. Carbon dioxide (CO2) capture and storage is increasingly being considered for reduction of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel plants, but the health effects associated with this technology are largely unquantified and probably mixed: efficiency losses mean greater consumption of the primary fuel and accompanying increases in some waste products. This paper reviews the state of knowledge regarding the health effects of different methods of generating electricity.
电力供应给社会带来了巨大益处,尤其是在健康方面,但它也带来了健康成本。运用欧洲研究中开发的燃料循环方法对不同形式的商业发电进行比较表明,对室外空气污染最严重的发电站(以褐煤、煤炭和石油为基础的发电站)带来的健康负担最大。天然气发电带来的健康负担明显较小,核电带来的健康负担更小。就温室气体排放而言,同样的排名也适用,因此,这可能也适用于气候变化产生的长期健康、社会和经济影响。然而,由于公众对核废料储存、灾难性事故或恐怖袭击的可能性以及可裂变材料被转用于武器生产的担忧,核电仍然存在争议。核聚变的健康风险较小,但在近期至关重要的温室气体减排方面,核聚变无法及时实现商业开发。可再生能源发电对健康的负面影响尚未像传统能源那样得到充分评估,但对于太阳能、风能和波浪能来说,此类影响似乎较小;生物燃料的影响则取决于燃料类型和燃烧方式。为减少化石燃料发电厂的二氧化碳排放,越来越多地考虑采用二氧化碳捕获与封存技术,但与该技术相关的健康影响在很大程度上尚未量化,而且可能好坏参半:效率损失意味着一次燃料消耗增加以及一些废弃物随之增加。本文综述了关于不同发电方式对健康影响的知识现状。