Thompson Martie P, Sims Laney, Kingree J B, Windle Michael
Department of Public Health Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina 29634, USA.
J Adolesc Health. 2008 Jan;42(1):21-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2007.07.003. Epub 2007 Oct 4.
Research indicates that alcohol use is both a risk factor for and a consequence of violent victimization. This study investigated the longitudinal associations between problem alcohol use and victimization, and whether these associations varied by gender.
Data from the National Longitudinal Study on Adolescent Health (Add Health) were used to investigate the prospective associations between alcohol use and victimization over three time points spanning 7 years. Because adolescence is a time of rapid growth, we used latent growth modeling (LGM) in addition to traditional cross-lagged structural equation modeling (SEM).
For boys, both SEM and LGM indicated that problem alcohol use was a risk factor for subsequent violent victimization. For girls, the SEM suggested a bi-directional association, although the LGM provided stronger support for problem alcohol use as a risk factor for, rather than a consequence of, violent victimization.
Findings across the two statistical approaches suggest that interventions that reduce the likelihood of problem alcohol use among adolescents can minimize the short-term risk of victimization and the long-term risk of problem alcohol use in young adulthood.
研究表明，饮酒既是暴力受害的一个风险因素，也是其后果。本研究调查了问题饮酒与受害之间的纵向关联，以及这些关联是否因性别而异。
利用全国青少年健康纵向研究（“青少年健康与发展”研究）的数据，调查了7年间三个时间点饮酒与受害之间的前瞻性关联。由于青春期是快速成长的时期，除了传统的交叉滞后结构方程模型（SEM）外，我们还使用了潜在增长模型（LGM）。
对于男孩，SEM和LGM均表明问题饮酒是随后暴力受害的一个风险因素。对于女孩，SEM显示出双向关联，尽管LGM更有力地支持问题饮酒是暴力受害的一个风险因素，而非其后果。
两种统计方法的研究结果表明，减少青少年问题饮酒可能性的干预措施可以将短期内的受害风险以及成年早期问题饮酒的长期风险降至最低。
