Tang Sanyi, Xiao Yanni, Cheke Robert A
College of Mathematics and Information Science, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an, 710062, PR China.
Theor Popul Biol. 2008 Mar;73(2):181-97. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2007.12.001. Epub 2007 Dec 8.
Host-parasitoid models including integrated pest management (IPM) interventions with impulsive effects at both fixed and unfixed times were analyzed with regard to host-eradication, host-parasitoid persistence and host-outbreak solutions. The host-eradication periodic solution with fixed moments is globally stable if the host's intrinsic growth rate is less than the summation of the mean host-killing rate and the mean parasitization rate during the impulsive period. Solutions for all three categories can coexist, with switch-like transitions among their attractors showing that varying dosages and frequencies of insecticide applications and the numbers of parasitoids released are crucial. Periodic solutions also exist for models with unfixed moments for which the maximum amplitude of the host is less than the economic threshold. The dosages and frequencies of IPM interventions for these solutions are much reduced in comparison with the pest-eradication periodic solution. Our results, which are robust to inclusion of stochastic effects and with a wide range of parameter values, confirm that IPM is more effective than any single control tactic.
对包含综合虫害管理(IPM)干预措施的宿主 - 寄生蜂模型进行了分析,这些干预措施在固定和非固定时间具有脉冲效应,分析内容涉及宿主根除、宿主 - 寄生蜂持续存在以及宿主爆发解决方案。如果宿主的内在增长率小于脉冲期内平均宿主杀灭率与平均寄生率之和,则具有固定时刻的宿主根除周期解是全局稳定的。所有三类解决方案可以共存,其吸引子之间的类似开关的转变表明,不同的杀虫剂施用剂量和频率以及释放的寄生蜂数量至关重要。对于宿主最大幅度小于经济阈值的非固定时刻模型,也存在周期解。与害虫根除周期解相比,这些解决方案的IPM干预剂量和频率大大降低。我们的结果对随机效应的纳入具有稳健性,并且在广泛的参数值范围内,证实了IPM比任何单一控制策略更有效。