Robine Jean-Marie, Cheung Siu Lan K, Le Roy Sophie, Van Oyen Herman, Griffiths Clare, Michel Jean-Pierre, Herrmann François Richard
INSERM, Démographie et santé, CRLC, centre Val-d'Aurelle, parc Euromédecine, 34298 Montpellier cedex 5, France.
C R Biol. 2008 Feb;331(2):171-8. doi: 10.1016/j.crvi.2007.12.001. Epub 2007 Dec 31.
Daily numbers of deaths at a regional level were collected in 16 European countries. Summer mortality was analyzed for the reference period 1998-2002 and for 2003. More than 70,000 additional deaths occurred in Europe during the summer 2003. Major distortions occurred in the age distribution of the deaths, but no harvesting effect was observed in the months following August 2003. Global warming constitutes a new health threat in an aged Europe that may be difficult to detect at the country level, depending on its size. Centralizing the count of daily deaths on an operational geographical scale constitutes a priority for Public Health in Europe.
在16个欧洲国家收集了区域层面的每日死亡人数。分析了1998 - 2002年参考期以及2003年的夏季死亡率。2003年夏季欧洲额外发生了7万多例死亡。死亡的年龄分布出现了重大扭曲,但在2003年8月之后的几个月未观察到死亡人数提前统计的现象。在老龄化的欧洲,全球变暖构成了一种新的健康威胁,根据国家规模不同,在国家层面可能难以察觉。在可操作的地理范围内集中统计每日死亡人数是欧洲公共卫生的一项优先事项。