Wagenknecht L E, Roseman J M, Herman W H
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Alabama, Birmingham.
Am J Epidemiol. 1991 May 15;133(10):1024-31. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115811.
In order to address the hypothesis that coxsackievirus B5 is a cause of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), the incidence of IDDM was examined following an epidemic of coxsackievirus B5 in Jefferson County, Alabama. Incidence estimates were obtained from a registry of IDDM which was maintained in the county since 1979. A total of 266 cases were diagnosed (69 black and 197 white individuals less than 20 years of age) between 1979 and 1988. Significant increases in incidence were observed in both races, corresponding temporally to the epidemic of coxsackievirus B5 which occurred in 1983. The overall incidence in the year beginning July 1983, the month of the first isolation of coxsackievirus B5, was 18.4/100,000 person-years, an excess of 6.7/100,000 person-years over the average annual incidence for the previous 4 years. The increase was greatest in females and among all children aged 10-14 years. This study provides support for the role of coxsackievirus B5 in the multifactorial etiology of IDDM, and suggests a possible basis for the increased incidence of IDDM reported around the world in the early 1980s.
为了验证柯萨奇病毒B5是胰岛素依赖型糖尿病(IDDM)病因这一假设,在阿拉巴马州杰斐逊县发生柯萨奇病毒B5疫情后,对IDDM的发病率进行了调查。发病率估计值来自该县自1979年起维护的IDDM登记册。1979年至1988年间,共诊断出266例病例(69名黑人及197名20岁以下白人)。两个种族的发病率均显著上升,在时间上与1983年发生的柯萨奇病毒B5疫情相对应。在1983年7月开始的这一年,即首次分离出柯萨奇病毒B5的那个月,总体发病率为18.4/100,000人年,比前4年的平均年发病率高出6.7/100,000人年。女性及所有10至14岁儿童中的发病率上升幅度最大。本研究为柯萨奇病毒B5在IDDM多因素病因中的作用提供了支持,并为20世纪80年代初世界各地报道的IDDM发病率上升提供了可能的依据。