Ivanov V K, Chekin S Yu, Kashcheev V V, Maksioutov M A, Tumanov K A
Medical Radiological Research Centre, Russian Academy of Medical Sciences, 4 Korolyov street, Obninsk, Kaluga region 249036, Russia.
Radiat Environ Biophys. 2008 Nov;47(4):463-7. doi: 10.1007/s00411-008-0177-9. Epub 2008 Jun 13.
The presented paper deals with the thyroid cancer incidence in selected cohorts of emergency workers of Russia. In 1986-2003, a total of 87 cases of thyroid cancer were observed. Based on these data, a statistically significant increase in thyroid cancer incidence was found above the reference level for the male population of Russia, corresponding to a standardized incidence rate (SIR) of SIR = 3.47 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.80; 4.25]. The highest incidence rate (SIR = 6.62, 95% CI: 4.63; 9.09) was shown for those emergency workers who took part in the early recovery operations in April-July 1986. The estimated SIR value increases to 7.97 (95% CI: 5.24; 11.52) after allowing for a 10 years latent period of Chernobyl-related thyroid cancers. These results indicate that the exposure to incorporated (131)I was the major risk factor of thyroid cancer among Chernobyl emergency workers. No statistically significant relationship was found for the thyroid cancer incidence and external radiation dose.
本文探讨了俄罗斯特定应急工作者群体中的甲状腺癌发病率。1986年至2003年期间,共观察到87例甲状腺癌病例。基于这些数据,发现俄罗斯男性人群的甲状腺癌发病率在参考水平之上有统计学显著增加,标准化发病率(SIR)为SIR = 3.47 [95%置信区间(CI):2.80;4.25]。1986年4月至7月参与早期恢复行动的应急工作者的发病率最高(SIR = 6.62,95% CI:4.63;9.09)。考虑到切尔诺贝利相关甲状腺癌的10年潜伏期后,估计的SIR值增至7.97(95% CI:5.24;11.52)。这些结果表明,摄入(131)I是切尔诺贝利应急工作者中甲状腺癌的主要危险因素。未发现甲状腺癌发病率与外照射剂量之间存在统计学显著关系。