Brook Barry W, Sodhi Navjot S, Bradshaw Corey J A
Research Institute for Climate Change and Sustainability, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia.
Trends Ecol Evol. 2008 Aug;23(8):453-60. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2008.03.011. Epub 2008 Jun 24.
If habitat destruction or overexploitation of populations is severe, species loss can occur directly and abruptly. Yet the final descent to extinction is often driven by synergistic processes (amplifying feedbacks) that can be disconnected from the original cause of decline. We review recent observational, experimental and meta-analytic work which together show that owing to interacting and self-reinforcing processes, estimates of extinction risk for most species are more severe than previously recognised. As such, conservation actions which only target single-threat drivers risk being inadequate because of the cascading effects caused by unmanaged synergies. Future work should focus on how climate change will interact with and accelerate ongoing threats to biodiversity, such as habitat degradation, overexploitation and invasive species.
如果栖息地遭到严重破坏或种群被过度开发,物种可能会直接且突然地消失。然而,物种最终走向灭绝往往是由协同过程(放大反馈)驱动的,这些过程可能与最初的衰退原因并无直接关联。我们回顾了近期的观测、实验和荟萃分析研究,这些研究共同表明,由于相互作用和自我强化的过程,大多数物种的灭绝风险估计比之前认为的更为严峻。因此,仅针对单一威胁驱动因素的保护行动可能并不充分,因为未加管控的协同效应会引发连锁反应。未来的工作应聚焦于气候变化将如何与生物多样性面临的现有威胁(如栖息地退化、过度开发和入侵物种)相互作用并加速这些威胁。