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[1918年冰岛的西班牙流感。医学与历史的教训]

[The Spanish flu in Iceland 1918. Lessons in medicine and history].

作者信息

Gottfredsson Magnus

机构信息

Landspítala og laeknadeild Háskóla Islands.

出版信息

Laeknabladid. 2008 Nov;94(11):737-45.

PMID:18974435
Abstract

Pandemic influenza has emerged 1-3 times each century. The pandemic in 1918, or the "Spanish flu" was caused by a novel influenza strain which caused the death of 21-50 million people world wide. Descriptions of the epidemic in Iceland give a detailed account on how and when the virus was introduced to the population of Reykjavik, the capital of Iceland, by the crew of two ships, "Botnía". and "Willemoes" on October 19th 1918. The spread of the illness was extremely rapid and peaked 3 weeks later. It caused significant morbidity and mortality among inhabitants of the southern and western part of Iceland. Within 6 weeks, close to 500 individuals had died, thereof more than 50% in Reykjavik. The attack rate in Reykjavik was at least 63% and the case fatality proportion was close to 2.6%. The age-specific mortality was highest among young children, people 20-40 years of age and the elderly. In addition, pregnant women had extremely poor prognosis (37% case fatality). Attempts to halt the spread of the epidemic to the northern and eastern parts of the island were successful. By identifying the individuals who died from the Spanish flu using historical data, it has recently been shown that genetic factors probably did not play a major role in the pathogenesis of fatal cases. These historical data can be used to assist in planning for new pandemics of influenza, which are believed to be inevitable.

摘要

大流行性流感每个世纪出现1至3次。1918年的大流行,即“西班牙流感”,是由一种新型流感毒株引起的,全球有2100万至5000万人死亡。冰岛对该疫情的描述详细说明了1918年10月19日两艘船“博特尼亚号”和“维勒莫斯号”的船员是如何以及何时将病毒传播给冰岛首都雷克雅未克民众的。疾病传播极其迅速,3周后达到高峰。它在冰岛南部和西部居民中造成了严重的发病率和死亡率。在6周内,近500人死亡,其中雷克雅未克的死亡人数超过50%。雷克雅未克的感染率至少为63%,病死率接近2.6%。特定年龄组的死亡率在幼儿、20至40岁的人群和老年人中最高。此外,孕妇的预后极差(病死率为37%)。阻止疫情蔓延到该岛北部和东部的努力取得了成功。通过利用历史数据识别死于西班牙流感的个体,最近发现遗传因素可能在致命病例的发病机制中不起主要作用。这些历史数据可用于协助规划新的流感大流行,人们认为这是不可避免的。

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