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[与西班牙流感相关的数据]

[Spanish flu related data].

作者信息

Shimao Tadao

机构信息

Japan Anti-Tuberculosis Association, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

Kekkaku. 2009 Oct;84(10):685-9.

Abstract

Swine flu epidemic is a current topic, and data relating to Spanish flu pandemic from 1918 to 1920 were presented for your information. Monthly trend of number of deaths due to influenza, acute bronchitis, pneumonia and bronchopneumonia together with PTB, other TB and TB of all forms from 1917 to 1920 was presented in Table 1 and Fig. 1. Flu epidemics in early 1917 and from winter 1917 to spring 1818 were so-called common seasonal flu epidemic, however, new pandemic started from October 1918, and the number of deaths due to flu increased 14 times compared with previous month in October, 19 times in November, and the pandemic reached the summit, and started to decrease from December, however, marked decline was seen only after April 1919. The number of deaths due to flu started to increase again from November 1919, and reached its summit again in January 1920, and the pandemic ended in July. The age- and sex-specific mortality rate due to influenza in 1918 was shown in Fig. 2. The rate was high among infants, 20s and 30s and elderly, and by sex, the rate of female was higher below 35 and lower above 35. The number of deaths due to acute bronchitis and pneumonia and bronchopneumonia fluctuated in parallel with that of influenza, and deaths due to these conditions were very difficult to differentiate, and the impact of flu could better be evaluated by summing up all these three conditions, the sum of deaths due to three conditions was expressed as influenza related death. The proportion of deaths due to three conditions by age group was shown in Fig. 3. The proportion of acute bronchitis was high in infants and elderly, and in the other age groups, influenza occupied around 30% and pneumonia and bronchopneumonia around 70% of influenza related death. Total number of deaths due to influenza related diseases from 1918 to 1920 was 816,884, and the annual rate was 489.4 per 100,000. Annual age- and sex-specific mortality rate due to influenza related diseases was shown in Fig. 4, and it showed similar pattern with that of influenza. Because of huge excess death of TB patients due to influenza and related diseases, TB mortality in Japan, which had been increasing since 1884, started to decrease since 1919, and TB mortality which had been decreasing slowly since the beginning of 20th century in European countries and the US, the decline was accelerated since 1919.

摘要

猪流感疫情是当前的一个话题,现将1918年至1920年西班牙流感大流行的数据提供给你以供参考。表1和图1展示了1917年至1920年期间,流感、急性支气管炎、肺炎和支气管肺炎以及肺结核、其他结核病和所有形式结核病的每月死亡人数趋势。1917年初以及1917年冬季至1918年春季的流感疫情是所谓的常见季节性流感疫情,然而,新的大流行始于1918年10月,1918年10月因流感死亡的人数比上月增加了14倍,11月增加了19倍,大流行达到顶峰,并于12月开始下降,但直到1919年4月后才出现明显下降。1919年11月因流感死亡的人数再次开始增加,并于1920年1月再次达到顶峰,大流行于7月结束。图2显示了1918年按年龄和性别划分的流感死亡率。婴儿、20多岁和30多岁以及老年人中的死亡率较高,按性别划分,35岁以下女性的死亡率较高,35岁以上则较低。急性支气管炎、肺炎和支气管肺炎的死亡人数与流感死亡人数平行波动,而且很难区分这些疾病导致的死亡,将这三种情况加起来能更好地评估流感的影响,这三种情况导致的死亡总数表示为与流感相关的死亡。图3显示了按年龄组划分的这三种情况导致的死亡比例。婴儿和老年人中急性支气管炎导致的死亡比例较高,在其他年龄组中,流感导致的死亡约占30%,肺炎和支气管肺炎导致的死亡约占与流感相关死亡的70%。1918年至1920年期间与流感相关疾病导致的死亡总数为816,884人,年发病率为每10万人489.4人。图4显示了按年龄和性别划分的与流感相关疾病的年死亡率,其模式与流感死亡率相似。由于流感及相关疾病导致结核病患者大量超额死亡,自1884年以来一直在上升的日本结核病死亡率自1919年开始下降,在欧洲国家和美国,自20世纪初以来一直在缓慢下降的结核病死亡率自1919年起下降加速。

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