Ward Michael M
NIH/NIAMS/IRP, Building 10 CRC, Room 4-1339, 10 Center Drive, MSC 1468, Bethesda, MD 20892-1468, USA.
J Rheumatol. 2009 Jan;36(1):63-7. doi: 10.3899/jrheum.080625.
To determine if the incidence of endstage renal disease (ESRD) due to lupus nephritis has decreased from 1996 to 2004.
Patients age 15 years or older with incident ESRD due to lupus nephritis in 1996-2004 and living in one of the 50 United States or the District of Columbia were identified using the US Renal Data System, a national population-based registry of all patients receiving renal replacement therapy for ESRD. Incidence rates were computed for each calendar year, using population estimates of the US census as denominators.
Over the 9-year study period, 9199 new cases of ESRD due to lupus nephritis were observed. Incidence rates, adjusted to the age, sex, and race composition of the US population in 2000, were 4.4 per million in 1996 and 4.9 per million in 2004. Compared to the pooled incidence rate in 1996-1998, the relative risk of ESRD due to lupus nephritis in 1999-2000 was 0.99 (95% CI 0.93-1.06), in 2001-2002 was 0.99 (95% CI 0.92-1.06), and in 2003-2004 was 0.96 (95% CI 0.89-1.02). Findings were similar in analyses stratified by sex, age group, race, and socioeconomic status.
There was no decrease in the incidence of ESRD due to lupus nephritis between 1996 and 2004. This may reflect the limits of effectiveness of current treatments, or limitations in access, use, or adherence to treatment.
确定1996年至2004年期间狼疮性肾炎所致终末期肾病(ESRD)的发病率是否有所下降。
利用美国肾脏数据系统识别出1996 - 2004年期间年龄在15岁及以上、因狼疮性肾炎而新发ESRD且居住在美国50个州之一或哥伦比亚特区的患者。美国肾脏数据系统是一个基于全国人口的登记系统,登记了所有接受ESRD肾脏替代治疗的患者。使用美国人口普查的人口估计数作为分母,计算每个日历年的发病率。
在9年的研究期内,共观察到9199例因狼疮性肾炎导致的ESRD新病例。根据2000年美国人口的年龄、性别和种族构成进行调整后的发病率,1996年为每百万人口4.4例,2004年为每百万人口4.9例。与1996 - 1998年的合并发病率相比,1999 - 2000年狼疮性肾炎所致ESRD的相对风险为0.99(95%可信区间0.93 - 1.06),2001 - 2002年为0.99(95%可信区间0.92 - 1.06),2003 - 2004年为0.96(95%可信区间0.89 - 1.02)。按性别、年龄组、种族和社会经济地位分层分析的结果相似。
1996年至2004年期间,狼疮性肾炎所致ESRD的发病率没有下降。这可能反映了当前治疗效果的局限性,或在治疗的可及性、使用或依从性方面的限制。