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人们在卡拉布里亚地区(意大利南部)遭受破坏性水文地质事件影响的脆弱性。

The Vulnerability of People to Damaging Hydrogeological Events in the Calabria Region (Southern Italy).

机构信息

CNR IRPI (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Istituto di Ricerca per la Protezione Idrogeologica), via Madonna Alta 126, I-06128 Perugia, Italy.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Dec 29;15(1):48. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15010048.

Abstract

Damaging Hydrogeological Events (DHEs) are severe weather periods during which floods, landslides, lightning, windstorms, hail or storm surges can harm people. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency/intensity of DHEs and, consequently, the potential harm to people. We investigated the impacts of DHEs on people in Calabria (Italy) over 37 years (1980-2016). Data on 7288 people physically affected by DHEs were gathered from the systematic analysis of regional newspapers and collected in the database named PEOPLE. The damage was codified in three severity levels as follows: fatalities (people who were killed), injured (people who suffered physical harm) and involved (people who were present at the place where an accident occurred but survived and were not harmed). During the study period, we recorded 68 fatalities, 566 injured and 6654 people involved in the events. Males were more frequently killed, injured and involved than females, and females who suffered fatalities were older than males who suffered fatalities, perhaps indicating that younger females tended to be more cautious than same-aged males, while older females showed an intrinsic greater vulnerability. Involved people were younger than injured people and fatalities, suggesting that younger people show greater promptness in reacting to dangerous situations. Floods caused the majority of the fatalities, injured and involved people, followed by landslides. Lightning was the most dangerous phenomenon, and it affected a relatively low number of people, killing 11.63% of them and causing injuries to 37.2%. Fatalities and injuries mainly occurred outdoors, largely along roads. In contrast, people indoors, essentially in public or private buildings, were more frequently involved without suffering harm. Being "dragged by water/mud" and "surrounded by water/mud", respectively, represented the two extremes of dynamic dangerousness. The dragging effect of rapid-flowing water totally or partially obstructed the attempts of people to save their lives. In contrast, people surrounded by steady water/mud encountered difficulties but ultimately could survive. The study outcomes can be used in informational campaigns to increase risk awareness among both administrators and citizens and to improve community resilience, particularly in promoting self-protective behaviors and avoiding the underestimation of hazardous situations.

摘要

破坏性水文事件(DHEs)是指洪水、山体滑坡、闪电、风暴、冰雹或风暴潮等严重天气期间可能对人类造成伤害的时期。预计气候变化将增加 DHE 的频率/强度,从而增加对人类的潜在危害。

我们研究了 37 年来(1980-2016 年)卡拉布里亚(意大利)地区 DHE 对人类的影响。从对地区报纸的系统分析中收集了 7288 名受 DHE 直接影响的人的数据,并将其收录在 PEOPLE 数据库中。伤害程度被编码为三个严重程度级别,如下所示:死亡(死亡的人)、受伤(身体受伤的人)和参与(事故发生时在场但幸存且未受伤的人)。在研究期间,我们记录了 68 人死亡,566 人受伤和 6654 人参与了这些事件。男性比女性更易死亡、受伤和参与,而遭受死亡的女性比遭受死亡的男性年龄更大,这可能表明年轻女性比同龄男性更谨慎,而老年女性则表现出内在的更大脆弱性。参与的人比受伤的人和死亡的人年轻,这表明年轻人在应对危险情况时更迅速。洪水造成了大多数死亡、受伤和参与人员,其次是山体滑坡。闪电是最危险的现象,它影响的人数相对较少,造成 11.63%的人死亡,37.2%的人受伤。死亡和受伤主要发生在户外,主要在道路上。相比之下,在室内的人,主要在公共或私人建筑内,更多地是参与而没有受到伤害。被“水/泥拖曳”和“被水/泥包围”分别代表了动态危险的两个极端。快速流动的水的拖拽效应完全或部分阻止了人们挽救生命的尝试。相比之下,被稳定的水/泥包围的人遇到困难,但最终可以生存。

研究结果可用于宣传活动,以提高管理人员和公民的风险意识,并提高社区的复原力,特别是在促进自我保护行为和避免低估危险情况方面。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/98e8/5800147/ae5e8dceef61/ijerph-15-00048-g001.jpg

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