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暴洪造成的死亡情况:对1969 - 1981年国家气象局报告的综述

Mortality from flash floods: a review of national weather service reports, 1969-81.

作者信息

French J, Ing R, Von Allmen S, Wood R

出版信息

Public Health Rep. 1983 Nov-Dec;98(6):584-8.

Abstract

Of all weather-related disasters that occur in the United States, floods are the main cause of death, and most flood-related deaths are attributed to flash floods. Whenever a weather-related disaster involves 30 or more deaths or more than $100 million in property damage, the National Weather Service (NWS) forms a survey team to investigate the disaster and write a report of findings. All NWS survey reports on flash floods issued during 1969-81 were reviewed to determine the mortality resulting from such floods, the effect of warnings on mortality, and the circumstances contributing to death. A total of 1,185 deaths were associated with 32 flash floods, an average of 37 deaths per flash flood. The highest average number of deaths per event was associated with the four flash floods in which dams broke after heavy rains. Although there were 18 flash floods in 1977-81 and only 14 in 1969-76, the number of deaths was 2 1/2 times greater during the earlier period. More than twice as many deaths were associated with flash floods for which the survey team considered the warnings inadequate than with those with warnings considered adequate. Ninety-three percent of the deaths were due to drowning and 42 percent of these drownings were car related. The other drownings occurred in homes, at campsites, or when persons were crossing bridges and streams. The need for monitoring dams during periods of heavy rainfall is highlighted.

摘要

在美国发生的所有与天气相关的灾害中,洪水是主要的死亡原因,而且大多数与洪水相关的死亡都归因于突发洪水。每当一场与天气相关的灾害造成30人或更多人死亡,或财产损失超过1亿美元时,国家气象局(NWS)就会组建一个调查小组来调查该灾害并撰写一份调查结果报告。对国家气象局在1969年至1981年期间发布的所有关于突发洪水的调查报告进行了审查,以确定此类洪水造成的死亡率、预警对死亡率的影响以及导致死亡的相关情况。共有1185人死于32场突发洪水,平均每场突发洪水造成37人死亡。每场事件中平均死亡人数最多的是四场暴雨后大坝决堤的突发洪水。尽管1977年至1981年有18场突发洪水,而1969年至1976年只有14场,但早期的死亡人数却是后期的2.5倍。调查小组认为预警不足的突发洪水造成的死亡人数是预警充分的突发洪水的两倍多。93%的死亡是溺水所致,其中42%的溺水与汽车有关。其他溺水事件发生在家庭、露营地,或者是人们过桥和溪流的时候。突出了在暴雨期间监测大坝的必要性。

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