Awadzi Kezia D, Classen Sherrilene, Hall Allyson, Duncan R Paul, Garvan Cynthia W
Department of Occupational Therapy, College of Public Health and Health Professions (CPHHP), University of Florida (UF), Gainesville, FL 32610, USA.
Accid Anal Prev. 2008 Nov;40(6):1804-10. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2008.07.010. Epub 2008 Aug 27.
With 2003 Fatality Analysis Reporting System data, we examined relationships among predictors of motor vehicle injury/fatality outcomes for younger (35-54 years) and older (65 years and older) drivers. Using the Precede-Proceed Model of Health Promotion as an organizing framework, we classified variables into person, vehicle and environment domains and conducted a multinomial logistic regression. Significant risk factors for older driver injuries were impact crashes at 1-3 o'clock (OR=1.65; CI: 1.05-2.59), 7-9 o'clock angles (OR=2.59; CI=1.45-4.63), and driving with one passenger (OR=2.25; CI: 1.58-3.20). Previous other motor vehicle convictions were significantly associated with reduced risk of injury (OR=0.55; CI=0.34-0.90). The 7-9 o'clock angle (OR=3.06; CI: 1.83-5.12), and driving in daylight hours were risk factors for fatality among older drivers. Many risk factors (e.g., female gender, non-seatbelt use, rollover crashes, and vehicle body type), and protective factors (e.g., number of lanes and non-airbag deployment) were relevant for younger and older drivers. Findings showed relevant factors for drivers from both age groups, with some pointing to older adults, and set the stage for further research to develop injury and fatality prevention programs.
利用2003年死亡分析报告系统的数据,我们研究了年轻(35 - 54岁)和年长(65岁及以上)驾驶员机动车伤害/死亡结果预测因素之间的关系。以健康促进的PRECEDE - PROCEED模型作为组织框架,我们将变量分为个人、车辆和环境领域,并进行了多项逻辑回归分析。年长驾驶员受伤的显著风险因素包括1点至3点的碰撞事故(比值比[OR]=1.65;置信区间[CI]:1.05 - 2.59)、7点至9点的碰撞角度(OR = 2.59;CI = 1.45 - 4.63)以及搭载一名乘客驾驶(OR = 2.25;CI:1.58 - 3.20)。之前的其他机动车定罪与受伤风险降低显著相关(OR = 0.55;CI = 0.34 - 0.90)。7点至9点的碰撞角度(OR = 3.06;CI:1.83 - 5.12)以及在白天驾驶是年长驾驶员死亡的风险因素。许多风险因素(如女性、不使用安全带、翻车事故和车身类型)以及保护因素(如车道数量和未展开安全气囊)对年轻和年长驾驶员都适用。研究结果显示了两个年龄组驾驶员的相关因素,其中一些指向老年人,并为进一步开展伤害和死亡预防项目的研究奠定了基础。