Holt Jason, Harle James, Proctor Roger, Michel Sylvain, Ashworth Mike, Batstone Crispian, Allen Icarus, Holmes Robert, Smyth Tim, Haines Keith, Bretherton Dan, Smith Gregory
Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory, 6 Brownlow Street, Liverpool L3 5DA, UK.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2009 Mar 13;367(1890):939-51. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0210.
Shelf and coastal seas are regions of exceptionally high biological productivity, high rates of biogeochemical cycling and immense socio-economic importance. They are, however, poorly represented by the present generation of Earth system models, both in terms of resolution and process representation. Hence, these models cannot be used to elucidate the role of the coastal ocean in global biogeochemical cycles and the effects global change (both direct anthropogenic and climatic) are having on them. Here, we present a system for simulating all the coastal regions around the world (the Global Coastal Ocean Modelling System) in a systematic and practical fashion. It is based on automatically generating multiple nested model domains, using the Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Coastal Ocean Modelling System coupled to the European Regional Seas Ecosystem Model. Preliminary results from the system are presented. These demonstrate the viability of the concept, and we discuss the prospects for using the system to explore key areas of global change in shelf seas, such as their role in the carbon cycle and climate change effects on fisheries.
陆架海和沿海水域是生物生产力极高、生物地球化学循环速率极快且具有巨大社会经济重要性的区域。然而，就分辨率和过程表示而言，当前一代地球系统模型对它们的描述却很不足。因此，这些模型无法用于阐明沿海水域在全球生物地球化学循环中的作用，以及全球变化（包括直接的人为变化和气候性变化）对它们的影响。在此，我们提出了一个以系统且实用的方式模拟全球所有沿海区域的系统（全球沿海水域建模系统）。它基于自动生成多个嵌套模型域，采用普劳德曼海洋学实验室沿海水域建模系统并结合欧洲区域海洋生态系统模型。文中展示了该系统的初步结果。这些结果证明了这一概念的可行性，并且我们讨论了使用该系统探索陆架海全球变化关键领域的前景，比如它们在碳循环中的作用以及气候变化对渔业的影响。
