Correlates of expected success at health habit change and its role as a predictor in health behavior research.

Perceived ability to change health habits successfully is undoubtedly an important factor underlying personal health behavior. This report examines expected success in changing future habits, using a sample of community-resident adults 18-65 years of age (n = 1,367). One set of analyses used expected success as a dependent variable, whereas another set used it as an independent variable for health behavior and knowledge indices. In the dependent variable analysis, results showed that reported past success at health habit change was the strongest predictor of success expected in the future. Optimism about future success was also associated with variables that already placed individuals at an advantage to change behavior (e.g., not smoking, regular exercise, lower Body Mass Index, support in the family). When used as a predictor variable, expected future success was not associated with five health-related, self-report indices of behavior, knowledge, and perceived risk. Further examination showed, however, that in three instances the association between expected success and the outcome indices seemed to plateau in the most optimistic group. Extreme optimism (that admits no chance of failure) may be a belief characteristic that deserves further investigation, one that will present a challenge to research and practice. Men tended to report greater expected future success than women, although women had more favorable reports on three of the five health-related behavior/knowledge indices.