Kengne A P, Awah P K
The George Institute for International Health, Missenden Road, Camperdown 2050 NSW, Australia.
QJM. 2009 Mar;102(3):209-15. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcn175. Epub 2009 Jan 7.
High levels of cardiovascular risk factors have been reported in rural Africa. How these translate into major outcomes remain unknown.
To assess the association between selected risk factors and all-cause mortality in rural Cameroon.
Nine-year's prospective cohort study.
The 9-year's vital status was ascertained for 350 participants screened for cardiovascular risk factors in Bafut, Cameroon in 1998. Cox models were used to compute the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for selected risk factors.
Vital status was available for all participants, except 22 (6.3%) who were excluded from analyses. At baseline, compared with women, men had significantly higher waist-to-hip ratio, were more likely to be ex- or current smokers and alcohol consumers (all P < or = 0.008). The total duration of follow-up was 2771 person-years. This duration was longer for women (P = 0.04). During follow-up 47 deaths were recorded, 31 (66%) in men (P = 0.023). In multivariate Cox analyses, age, male gender, current smoking, systolic blood pressure and fasting capillary glucose were significant predictors of total mortality during follow-up.
Gender, smoking, fasting capillary glucose, blood pressures and age are potential determinants of overall death in rural Cameroon. More elaborated cohort studies are needed to refine these conclusions and monitor the progression of these populations through epidemiological transition stages.
据报道,非洲农村地区心血管危险因素水平较高。这些危险因素如何转化为主要结局仍不清楚。
评估喀麦隆农村地区特定危险因素与全因死亡率之间的关联。
九年前瞻性队列研究。
对1998年在喀麦隆巴富特筛查心血管危险因素的350名参与者确定其九年生命状态。使用Cox模型计算选定危险因素的风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI)。
除22名(6.3%)被排除在分析之外的参与者外,所有参与者的生命状态均可知。在基线时,与女性相比,男性的腰臀比显著更高,更有可能是既往或当前吸烟者及饮酒者(所有P≤0.008)。随访总时长为2771人年。女性的随访时长更长(P = 0.04)。随访期间记录了47例死亡,31例(66%)为男性(P = 0.023)。在多变量Cox分析中,年龄、男性性别、当前吸烟、收缩压和空腹毛细血管血糖是随访期间总死亡率的显著预测因素。
性别、吸烟、空腹毛细血管血糖、血压和年龄是喀麦隆农村地区总体死亡的潜在决定因素。需要更详尽的队列研究来完善这些结论,并通过流行病学转变阶段监测这些人群的进展情况。