Halsnaes Kirsten, Traerup Sara
DTU Climate Centre, Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Roskilde, Denmark.
Environ Manage. 2009 May;43(5):765-78. doi: 10.1007/s00267-009-9273-0. Epub 2009 Feb 18.
The paper introduces the so-called climate change mainstreaming approach, where vulnerability and adaptation measures are assessed in the context of general development policy objectives. The approach is based on the application of a limited set of indicators. These indicators are selected as representatives of focal development policy objectives, and a stepwise approach for addressing climate change impacts, development linkages, and the economic, social and environmental dimensions related to vulnerability and adaptation are introduced. Within this context it is illustrated using three case studies how development policy indicators in practice can be used to assess climate change impacts and adaptation measures based on three case studies, namely a road project in flood prone areas of Mozambique, rainwater harvesting in the agricultural sector in Tanzania and malaria protection in Tanzania. The conclusions of the paper confirm that climate risks can be reduced at relatively low costs, but the uncertainty is still remaining about some of the wider development impacts of implementing climate change adaptation measures.
本文介绍了所谓的气候变化主流化方法，即在总体发展政策目标的背景下评估脆弱性和适应措施。该方法基于一套有限的指标应用。这些指标被选为重点发展政策目标的代表，并引入了一种逐步解决气候变化影响、发展联系以及与脆弱性和适应相关的经济、社会和环境层面问题的方法。在此背景下，通过三个案例研究说明了实践中发展政策指标如何用于评估气候变化影响和适应措施，这三个案例分别是莫桑比克洪水易发地区的道路项目、坦桑尼亚农业部门的雨水收集以及坦桑尼亚的疟疾防护。本文的结论证实，气候风险可以以相对较低的成本降低，但实施气候变化适应措施对更广泛发展影响的一些不确定性仍然存在。
