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爱尔兰共和国髋部骨折的发生率和未来预测:一项基于人群的研究。

Incidence of hip fracture in the Republic of Ireland and future projections: a population-based study.

机构信息

Department of Orthopaedic Trauma Surgery, Mater Misericordiae University Hospital, Dublin 7, Ireland.

出版信息

Osteoporos Int. 2009 Dec;20(12):2105-10. doi: 10.1007/s00198-009-0922-1. Epub 2009 Apr 1.

DOI:10.1007/s00198-009-0922-1
PMID:19337676
Abstract

SUMMARY

There are no previously published data for hip fracture incidence rates in the Republic of Ireland. The rates of fracture for the total population aged 50 years and over were 407 and 140 per 100,000 for females and males, respectively. Assuming a stable incidence rate, the absolute number of hip fractures occurring on an annual basis is expected to increase by 100% by the year 2026. Health care providers should accommodate these increases into future strategies.

INTRODUCTION

Hip fractures are an important cause of morbidity in the elderly and represent an increasing burden on health service providers. Significant regional and international variation in incidence rates of hip fracture exists. In order for health service providers to be able to commit adequate resources to the care of hip fracture patients, accurate estimates of hip fracture numbers are required now and for the future. To date, there have been no reported incidence rates for hip fracture in the Republic of Ireland.

METHODS

We performed a search of the national hospital in-patient enquiry database for all hip fractures occurring in the Republic of Ireland between 2000 and 2004. Population data was obtained from the 2002 national census data. Population projections were made for the years 2016 and 2026 to allow determination of expected hip fracture numbers for those years.

RESULTS

The rates of hip fracture in the Irish population aged 50 years and over were 407 and 140 per 100,000 for females and males, respectively. Annual hip fracture numbers are expected to increase by 100% by the year 2026, assuming a stable incidence rate.

CONCLUSION

Health service providers should take into account the expected increase in hip fracture numbers when allocating resources for the care of these patients in the mid-term future.

摘要

摘要

爱尔兰共和国此前尚无髋部骨折发病率的数据。50 岁及以上人群中女性和男性的骨折发生率分别为每 10 万人 407 例和 140 例。假设发病率稳定,预计每年髋部骨折的绝对数量到 2026 年将增加 100%。医疗保健提供者应将这些增加纳入未来的策略中。

介绍

髋部骨折是老年人发病率较高的重要原因,也是医疗服务提供者日益加重的负担。髋部骨折的发病率存在显著的地区和国际差异。为了使医疗服务提供者能够为髋部骨折患者提供足够的资源,现在和未来都需要对髋部骨折的数量进行准确估计。迄今为止,爱尔兰共和国尚未报告髋部骨折的发病率。

方法

我们对爱尔兰共和国 2000 年至 2004 年间所有髋部骨折的国家住院病人查询数据库进行了检索。人口数据来自 2002 年全国人口普查数据。对 2016 年和 2026 年的人口进行了预测,以便确定这两年髋部骨折的预期数量。

结果

爱尔兰 50 岁及以上人群的髋部骨折发生率分别为女性每 10 万人 407 例和男性每 10 万人 140 例。假设发病率稳定,预计每年髋部骨折的数量到 2026 年将增加 100%。

结论

医疗服务提供者在为这些患者分配中期资源时,应考虑到髋部骨折数量的预期增加。

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