Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C., USA.
Health Aff (Millwood). 2009 Jul-Aug;28(4):w730-42. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.28.4.w730. Epub 2009 Jun 30.
The Global Plan to Stop TB calls for significant financial resources to meet the Millennium Development Goals for tuberculosis. However, it is unclear whether the economic benefits of TB control exceed the costs. Using an epidemiological model, we find that the economic benefits of the Global Plan relative to sustained DOTS (a commonly used treatment method) were unambiguously greater than the incremental costs in all nine high-burden countries in Africa and in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Russia. Benefit-cost ratios of sustaining DOTS at current levels relative to having no DOTS exceeded 1 in all twenty-two high-burden, TB-endemic countries and sub-Saharan Africa.
全球结核病遏制计划呼吁提供大量财政资源,以实现结核病方面的千年发展目标。然而,目前尚不清楚结核病控制的经济效益是否超过成本。我们采用流行病学模型发现,与持续直接督导下的短程化疗(一种常用的治疗方法)相比,在非洲和阿富汗、巴基斯坦及俄罗斯等九个高负担国家,全球结核病遏制计划的经济效益明显大于增量成本。在所有二十二个结核病高负担、流行地区,持续开展直接督导下的短程化疗的成本效益比相对于不开展直接督导下的短程化疗均大于 1。