Institut für Medizinische Biometrie, Epidemiologie und Informatik, Klinikum der Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
Dtsch Arztebl Int. 2008 Oct;105(42):725-32. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.2008.0725. Epub 2008 Oct 17.
The causes of leukemia are largely unclear. The question whether leukemia rates are increased near nuclear power plants is controversial. The German Childhood Cancer Registry has published an epidemiological case-control study on childhood cancer and nuclear power plants.
The study was based on the distance of children's residences from nuclear power plants and addressed the question whether children under age 5 with cancer live closer, on average, to nuclear power plants than randomly selected controls. Odds Ratios (OR) for distance categories and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated.
An association was found between the nearness of residence to nuclear power plants and the risk of leukemia (593 cases, 1766 controls). Within the 5-km zone, the OR for the development of leukemia in children under 5 years of age was 2.19 compared to the rest of the region, and this elevation of the OR was statistically significant. The incidence of leukemia in the overall study region was the same as that in Germany as a whole (SIR=0.99; 95% confidence interval 0.92-1.07).
Based on the available information about radiation emissions from German nuclear power plants, a direct relation to radiation seems implausible. Many factors may conceivably cause leukemia, possibly operating in combination, and these factors may be present to a greater extent in the vicinity of German nuclear power plants.
白血病的病因在很大程度上尚不清楚。核电站附近白血病发病率是否增加的问题存在争议。德国儿童癌症登记处发布了一项关于儿童癌症与核电站的流行病学病例对照研究。
该研究基于儿童居住地与核电站的距离,并探讨了癌症患儿(5 岁以下)的居住地点是否比随机选择的对照组更接近核电站。计算了各距离类别下的比值比(OR)和标准化发病比(SIR)。
发现居住地靠近核电站与白血病风险之间存在关联(593 例病例,1766 例对照)。在 5 公里范围内,5 岁以下儿童患白血病的 OR 与该地区其他地区相比为 2.19,且该 OR 升高具有统计学意义。整个研究区域的白血病发病率与德国全国的发病率相同(SIR=0.99;95%置信区间 0.92-1.07)。
根据德国核电站辐射排放的现有信息,直接与辐射相关似乎不太可能。许多因素可能导致白血病,这些因素可能以组合的形式发生作用,并且这些因素在德国核电站附近可能更为普遍。