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遥感、地理信息系统和空间分析在非洲血吸虫病流行病学和生态学中的应用。

Remote sensing, geographical information system and spatial analysis for schistosomiasis epidemiology and ecology in Africa.

机构信息

Ministry of Health, P.O. Box 30205, 10101 Lusaka, Zambia.

出版信息

Parasitology. 2009 Nov;136(13):1683-93. doi: 10.1017/S0031182009006222. Epub 2009 Jul 23.

DOI:10.1017/S0031182009006222
PMID:19627627
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2789293/
Abstract

Beginning in 1970, the potential of remote sensing (RS) techniques, coupled with geographical information systems (GIS), to improve our understanding of the epidemiology and control of schistosomiasis in Africa, has steadily grown. In our current review, working definitions of RS, GIS and spatial analysis are given, and applications made to date with RS and GIS for the epidemiology and ecology of schistosomiasis in Africa are summarised. Progress has been made in mapping the prevalence of infection in humans and the distribution of intermediate host snails. More recently, Bayesian geostatistical modelling approaches have been utilized for predicting the prevalence and intensity of infection at different scales. However, a number of challenges remain; hence new research is needed to overcome these limitations. First, greater spatial and temporal resolution seems important to improve risk mapping and understanding of transmission dynamics at the local scale. Second, more realistic risk profiling can be achieved by taking into account information on people's socio-economic status; furthermore, future efforts should incorporate data on domestic access to clean water and adequate sanitation, as well as behavioural and educational issues. Third, high-quality data on intermediate host snail distribution should facilitate validation of infection risk maps and modelling transmission dynamics. Finally, more emphasis should be placed on risk mapping and prediction of multiple species parasitic infections in an effort to integrate disease risk mapping and to enhance the cost-effectiveness of their control.

摘要

自 1970 年以来,遥感 (RS) 技术与地理信息系统 (GIS) 的结合,为我们提高对非洲血吸虫病的流行病学和控制的理解提供了潜力。在我们目前的综述中,给出了 RS、GIS 和空间分析的工作定义,并总结了迄今为止 RS 和 GIS 在非洲血吸虫病的流行病学和生态学中的应用。在绘制人类感染的流行程度和中间宿主蜗牛的分布方面已经取得了进展。最近,贝叶斯地统计学建模方法已被用于预测不同尺度下感染的流行率和强度。然而,仍存在一些挑战;因此,需要新的研究来克服这些限制。首先,提高空间和时间分辨率对于改善局部尺度的风险绘图和了解传播动态似乎很重要。其次,通过考虑人们的社会经济地位信息,可以实现更现实的风险分析;此外,未来的努力应纳入有关家庭获得清洁水和适当卫生设施的数据,以及行为和教育问题。第三,中间宿主蜗牛分布的高质量数据将有助于验证感染风险图和模拟传播动态。最后,应更加重视多种寄生虫感染的风险绘图和预测,以努力整合疾病风险绘图并提高其控制的成本效益。

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