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事故与不愉快事件:交通中的担忧及出行行为预测

Accidents and unpleasant incidents: worry in transport and prediction of travel behavior.

作者信息

Backer-Grøndahl Agathe, Fyhri Aslak, Ulleberg Pål, Amundsen Astrid Helene

机构信息

Institute of Transport Economics, NO-0349, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2009 Sep;29(9):1217-26. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01266.x. Epub 2009 Jul 23.

DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01266.x
PMID:19645756
Abstract

Worry on nine different means of transport was measured in a Norwegian sample of 853 respondents. The main aim of the study was to investigate differences in worry about accidents and worry about unpleasant incidents, and how these two sorts of worry relate to various means of transport as well as transport behavior. Factor analyses of worry about accidents suggested a division between rail transport, road transport, and nonmotorized transport, whereas analyses of worry about unpleasant incidents suggested a division between transport modes where you interact with other people and "private" transport modes. Moreover, mean ratings of worry showed that respondents worried more about accidents than unpleasant incidents on private transport modes, and more about unpleasant incidents than accidents on public transport modes. Support for the distinction between worry about accidents and unpleasant incidents was also found when investigating relationships between both types of worry and behavioral adaptations: worry about accidents was more important than worry about unpleasant incidents in relation to behavioral adaptations on private means of transport, whereas the opposite was true for public means of transport. Finally, predictors of worry were investigated. The models of worry about accidents and worry about unpleasant incidents differed as to what predictors turned out significant. Knowledge about peoples' worries on different means of transport is important with regard to understanding and influencing transport and travel behavior, as well as attending to commuters' welfare.

摘要

在挪威的一个由853名受访者组成的样本中,对九种不同交通方式的担忧程度进行了测量。该研究的主要目的是调查对事故的担忧和对不愉快事件的担忧之间的差异,以及这两种担忧如何与各种交通方式以及交通行为相关联。对事故担忧的因素分析表明,可分为铁路运输、公路运输和非机动运输;而对不愉快事件担忧的分析则表明,可分为与他人互动的交通方式和“私人”交通方式。此外,担忧程度的平均评分显示,受访者对私人交通方式上的事故比对不愉快事件更为担忧,而对公共交通方式上的不愉快事件比对事故更为担忧。在调查这两种担忧与行为适应之间的关系时,也发现了对事故的担忧和对不愉快事件的担忧之间的区别:在私人交通方式的行为适应方面,对事故的担忧比担心不愉快事件更为重要,而在公共交通方式上则相反。最后,对担忧的预测因素进行了调查。对事故的担忧模型和对不愉快事件的担忧模型在哪些预测因素显著方面存在差异。了解人们对不同交通方式的担忧对于理解和影响交通及出行行为,以及关注通勤者的福利非常重要。

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