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年龄、机械通气持续时间以及危重症患者的预后。

Age, duration of mechanical ventilation, and outcomes of patients who are critically ill.

作者信息

Feng Yan, Amoateng-Adjepong Yaw, Kaufman David, Gheorghe Cristina, Manthous Constantine A

机构信息

Bridgeport Hospital, Bridgeport, CT; Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.

Bridgeport Hospital, Bridgeport, CT; Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.

出版信息

Chest. 2009 Sep;136(3):759-764. doi: 10.1378/chest.09-0515.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Age and duration of mechanical ventilation (MV) are strongly associated with mortality and hospital discharge disposition.

METHODS

Electronic administrative records from a 425-bed community teaching hospital were obtained for 9,912 patients who were admitted to hospital ICUs between 2003 and 2008. Risk estimates of age and duration of MV for in-hospital mortality and discharge to home vs extended-care facilities (ECFs) also were obtained.

RESULTS

Of 9,912 patients, 37 were discharged to hospice care, and 668 were < 18 years of age. Of the remaining 9,207 patients, 4,238 received invasive MV. Mortality or hospital discharge to ECFs increased consistently for each decade of age > 65 years and as the duration of MV increased. Although only 11.7% of patients < 65 years age who received MV for 1 or 2 days died during hospitalization, the mortality rate increased to 72.1% for patients > 85 years of age who had received MV for > 7 days. For patients requiring MV for >or= 7 days, < 10% of the >or= 65 years of age and < 5% of patients >or= 85 years of age survived to be discharged home from the hospital. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that age > 65 years and duration of MV remained significantly associated with outcomes, even after adjustment for hospital discharge diagnoses (Charlson scores).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that age and duration of MV are strongly associated with mortality and posthospital disposition. If confirmed, the simple combination of age and duration of MV provides prognostic information that could be used with trajectory of illness and in the context of patients' values to inform end-of-life discussions with patients or their surrogates during a trial of critical care.

摘要

背景

机械通气(MV)的年龄和持续时间与死亡率及出院处置密切相关。

方法

获取了一家拥有425张床位的社区教学医院2003年至2008年期间入住医院重症监护病房的9912例患者的电子管理记录。还获得了MV年龄和持续时间对院内死亡率以及出院回家与转至长期护理机构(ECF)的风险估计。

结果

9912例患者中,37例出院接受临终关怀,668例年龄小于18岁。在其余9207例患者中,4238例接受了有创MV。65岁以上每增加一个十年以及随着MV持续时间的增加,死亡率或出院至ECF的情况持续上升。虽然接受MV 1或2天的65岁以下患者中只有11.7%在住院期间死亡,但接受MV超过7天的85岁以上患者死亡率增至72.1%。对于需要MV≥7天的患者,65岁及以上患者中不到10%、85岁及以上患者中不到5%存活至出院回家。多因素逻辑回归分析表明,即使在对出院诊断(Charlson评分)进行调整后,65岁以上年龄和MV持续时间仍与结局显著相关。

结论

本研究表明MV的年龄和持续时间与死亡率及出院后处置密切相关。如果得到证实,MV年龄和持续时间的简单组合可提供预后信息,可用于结合疾病轨迹以及患者价值观,在重症监护试验期间为与患者或其代理人进行的临终讨论提供参考。

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