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路易-勒内·维勒梅(1782-1863 年),社会流行病学的先驱:重新分析他关于 19 世纪早期巴黎比较死亡率的数据。

Louis-Rene Villerme (1782-1863), a pioneer in social epidemiology: re-analysis of his data on comparative mortality in Paris in the early 19th century.

机构信息

AP-HP, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Unité de Santé Publique, Paris, France.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2011 Aug;65(8):666-70. doi: 10.1136/jech.2009.087957. Epub 2009 Sep 18.

DOI:10.1136/jech.2009.087957
PMID:19767321
Abstract

BACKGROUND

During the early 19th century, contagionists' and anti-contagionists' explanations of disease causes opposed one another, and the Hippocratic miasma theory still predominated. According to that theory, geographic health disparities could be explained by topographical factors: differences in altitude, population density or proximity to a river. This article summarizes the life of Louis-René Villermé (1782-1863) and his major contributions to social epidemiology that proved the association between poverty and mortality.

METHODS

In this study, data reported by Villermé to study the mortality-rate variations across the 12 districts (arrondissements) of Paris-that is, 1817-1826 Parisian death rates by district, population density and income indicators-are presented and reanalyzed.

RESULTS

Results obtained with today's statistical techniques (correlation analysis) support Villermé's claims of a direct poverty-high death rate link: the three income indicators that he chose were significantly correlated with at-home mortality: taxation index (r=-0.83, p<0.002), average rent (r=-0.83, p<0.002), trade taxation index (r=-0.67, p<0.05), while population density variables were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Villermé was not only a forerunner of social epidemiology, he was also a scientific pioneer by relying on data, not opinions, to challenge or support medical hypotheses.

摘要

背景

19 世纪早期,传染病学家和反传染病学家对疾病病因的解释相互对立,希波克拉底瘴气理论仍然占主导地位。根据该理论,地理卫生差异可以用地形因素来解释:海拔、人口密度或靠近河流的差异。本文总结了路易斯-雷内·维勒梅(Louis-René Villermé)的生平及其对社会流行病学的主要贡献,这些贡献证明了贫困与死亡率之间存在关联。

方法

在这项研究中,维勒梅报告的数据用于研究巴黎 12 个区(arrondissements)的死亡率变化,即 1817-1826 年巴黎各区的死亡率、人口密度和收入指标,并对这些数据进行了重新分析。

结果

用今天的统计技术(相关分析)得到的结果支持了维勒梅关于贫困与高死亡率直接相关的说法:他选择的三个收入指标与在家中的死亡率显著相关:税收指数(r=-0.83,p<0.002)、平均租金(r=-0.83,p<0.002)、贸易税收指数(r=-0.67,p<0.05),而人口密度变量与死亡率无关。

结论

维勒梅不仅是社会流行病学的先驱,而且还是一位科学先驱,他依靠数据而不是意见来挑战或支持医学假说。

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