Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol. 2009 May;23(3):229-38. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3016.2009.01024.x. Epub 2009 Feb 24.
National estimates of injuries for children under 5 years based on population representative surveys are not readily available globally and have not been reported for developing countries. This study estimated the annual incidence, pattern and distribution of unintentional injuries according to age, gender, socio-economic status, urban/rural residence and disability caused among children aged under 5 years in Pakistan. The National Health Survey of Pakistan (NHSP 1990-94) is a nationally representative survey of households to assess the health profile of the country. A two-stage stratified design was used to select 3223 children under 5 years of age for interview and examination. Data were used for boys and girls in urban and rural areas over the preceding year. A community development index was developed to assess the relationship between socio-economic status and injuries. Weighted estimates were computed adjusting for complex survey design using surveyfreq and surveylogistic option of SAS 9.1 software. Post hoc power calculations were made for each variable keeping the design effect at 3.0. The overall annual incidence of unintentional injuries was 47.8 [95% CI 36.6, 59.0] per 1000 per year; 50.2 [95% CI 37.0, 63.4] and 45.2 [95% CI 29.4, 61.0] per 1000 per year among boys and girls under 5 years of age respectively. An estimated 1.1 million unintentional injuries occur in Pakistan annually among these children. Injury rates increase with age among the under-5s. Urban and rural injuries were 56.1 [95% CI 33.5, 78.7] and 44.1 [95% CI 31.1, 57.1] per 1000 per year respectively. The children living in least developed communities had almost 3 times higher risks of injuries than most developed communities. The annual incidence of types of injuries were: falls 28.7 [95% CI 19.5, 37.9], cuts/bruises 9.7 [95% CI 5.3, 14.1] and burns 6.6 [95% CI 3.0, 10.2] per 1000 per year. Falls were the most common type of injury (60%) followed by cuts/bruises (21%) and burns (14%). The majority of injuries occur at home (85%), with just 10% due to road traffic. Road traffic injuries and injuries to the female child were more likely to result in disability. There is a high burden of unintentional injuries and disability among children under 5 in Pakistan. These results are useful for planning further research and for prioritising prevention programmes nationally and in other developing countries with similar situation.
全球范围内,基于人口代表性调查的 5 岁以下儿童伤害数据尚不可得,发展中国家也未曾报告过此类数据。本研究旨在评估巴基斯坦 5 岁以下儿童的意外伤害发生率、模式和分布情况,具体按年龄、性别、社会经济地位、城乡居住和残疾程度进行分类。巴基斯坦国家健康调查(NHSP 1990-94)是一项针对家庭的全国性调查,旨在评估该国的健康状况。本研究采用两阶段分层设计,选取了 3223 名 5 岁以下儿童进行访谈和体检。数据涵盖了城乡地区过去一年中男孩和女孩的情况。本研究还开发了社区发展指数,以评估社会经济地位与伤害之间的关系。使用 SAS 9.1 软件的 surveyfreq 和 surveylogistic 选项,根据复杂的调查设计对数据进行了加权估计。针对每个变量,在保持设计效果为 3.0 的情况下,进行了事后功效计算。意外伤害的年发生率为 47.8 [95%CI 36.6, 59.0] /1000/人年;5 岁以下男孩和女孩的发生率分别为 50.2 [95%CI 37.0, 63.4] 和 45.2 [95%CI 29.4, 61.0] /1000/人年。据估计,巴基斯坦每年有 110 万 5 岁以下儿童遭受意外伤害。5 岁以下儿童的伤害发生率随年龄增长而增加。城市和农村地区的发生率分别为 56.1 [95%CI 33.5, 78.7] 和 44.1 [95%CI 31.1, 57.1] /1000/人年。生活在最不发达社区的儿童受伤风险比生活在最发达社区的儿童高近 3 倍。每年发生的伤害类型包括:跌倒 28.7 [95%CI 19.5, 37.9]、切割/擦伤 9.7 [95%CI 5.3, 14.1]和烧伤 6.6 [95%CI 3.0, 10.2] /1000/人年。跌倒(占 60%)是最常见的伤害类型,其次是切割/擦伤(占 21%)和烧伤(占 14%)。大多数伤害发生在家庭(85%),仅有 10%是道路交通伤害。道路交通伤害和女童伤害更有可能导致残疾。巴基斯坦 5 岁以下儿童意外伤害和残疾负担沉重。这些结果有助于进一步开展研究,也有助于在全国和其他情况类似的发展中国家制定预防计划。