Kuwait Institute for Medical Specialization, Kuwait.
Int J Health Plann Manage. 2010 Jan-Mar;25(1):49-62. doi: 10.1002/hpm.983.
The study addresses the supply of and demand for physicians in Kuwait in the light of the emerging variables such as increasing population, economic growth, changes in healthcare strategies, and expansion of healthcare facilities. The objective of the study was to project the future demand for physicians in Kuwait for the years 2007-2020 based on the period 1994-2006. Population projections were derived using the average annual natural increase rate of the 1994-2006 populations. The future demand for physicians was predicted using the average physician to population ratio for the years 1994-2006. The average annual growth rate of indigenous physicians during the period 1994-2006 was 4.08% compared to 2.83% for non-native expatriot physicians. There is a gap between the numbers of native and foreign physicians. In 2006, native physicians constituted 36.6% of the physician workforce in Kuwait. The disparity between the total number of physicians needed and the number of native physicians is expected to decline from 62.14% in 2007 to 48.1% in 2020. The supply of indigenous physicians should be increased. Without shared culture and language, it will be difficult to provide effective and efficient medical care to the people of Kuwait. This can be achieved through an improvement in recruitment and retention of indigenous physicians and medical students. There is also a need for establishment of a standing advisory committee for continuous monitoring of physician workforce planning and policy strategies in Kuwait.
该研究根据不断变化的变量，如人口增长、经济增长、医疗保健策略的变化以及医疗设施的扩大，探讨了科威特医生的供应和需求情况。该研究的目的是根据 1994-2006 年的数据，预测 2007-2020 年科威特医生的未来需求。人口预测是根据 1994-2006 年人口的年均自然增长率得出的。未来医生的需求是根据 1994-2006 年的医生与人口平均比例预测的。在 1994-2006 年期间，本土医生的年均增长率为 4.08%，而非本土外籍医生的增长率为 2.83%。本土医生和外国医生的数量存在差距。2006 年，本土医生占科威特医生劳动力的 36.6%。预计到 2020 年，需要的医生总数与本土医生人数之间的差距将从 2007 年的 62.14%降至 48.1%。应增加本土医生的供应。没有共同的文化和语言，很难为科威特人民提供有效和高效的医疗服务。这可以通过改善对本土医生和医学生的招聘和留用来实现。还需要建立一个常设咨询委员会，以持续监测科威特医生劳动力规划和政策战略。
