Gottret Pablo, Gupta Vaibhav, Sparkes Susan, Tandon Ajay, Moran Valerie, Berman Peter
The World Bank, Washington, DC, USA.
Adv Health Econ Health Serv Res. 2009;21:23-53.
This chapter assesses the extent to which previous economic and financial crises had a negative impact on health outcomes and health financing. In addition, we review evidence related to the effectiveness of different policy measures undertaken in past crises to protect access to health services, especially for the poor and vulnerable. The current global crisis is unique both in terms of its scale and origins. Unlike most previous instances, the current crisis has its origins in developed countries, initially the United States, before it spread to middle- and lower-income countries. The current crisis is now affecting almost all countries at all levels of income. This chapter addresses several key questions aimed at helping inform possible policy responses to the current crisis from the perspective of the health sector: What is the nature of the current crisis and in what ways does it differ from previous experiences? What are some of the key. lessons from previous crises? How have governments responded previously to protect health from such macroeconomic shocks? How can we improve the likelihood of positive action today?
METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: The chapter reviews the literature on the impact of financial crises on health outcomes and health expenditures and on the effectiveness of past policy efforts to protect human development during periods of economic downturn. It also presents analysis of household surveys and health expenditure data to track health seeking behavior and out-of-pocket expenditures by households during times of financial crisis.
Evidence from previous crises indicates that health-related impacts during economic downturns can occur through various channels. The impact in households experiencing reductions in employment and income could be manifest in terms of poorer nutritional outcomes and lower levels of utilization of health care when needed. Households may become impoverished, reduce needed health services, and experience reductions in consumption as a result of health shocks occurring during a time when their economic vulnerability has increased. Women, children, the poor, and informal sector workers are likely to be most at risk of experiencing negative health-related consequences in a crisis. Real government spending per capita on health care could decline due to reduced revenues, currency devaluations, and potential reductions in external aid flows. Low-income countries with weak fiscal positions are likely to be the most vulnerable.
Past crises can inform policy-making aimed at protecting health outcomes and reducing financial risk from health shocks. Evidence from previous crises indicates that broad-brush strategies that maintained overall levels of government health spending tended not to be successful, failing to protect access to quality health services especially for the poor. It is particularly vital to ensure access to essential health commodities, which in many low-income countries are imported, in the face of weakening exchange rates. Focused efforts to sustain the supply of lower-level basic services, combined with targeted demand-side approaches like conditional cash transfers may be more effective than broader sectoral approaches. Low-income countries may need specific short-term measures to ensure that health outcomes do not suffer.
本章评估以往经济和金融危机对健康结果及卫生筹资产生负面影响的程度。此外,我们还回顾了以往危机中为保护获得卫生服务的机会,尤其是为穷人和弱势群体提供此类机会而采取的不同政策措施的有效性证据。当前的全球危机在规模和起源方面都独具特色。与以往大多数情况不同,当前危机起源于发达国家,最初是美国,之后蔓延到中低收入国家。当前危机如今正影响着几乎所有各个收入水平的国家。本章探讨了几个关键问题,旨在从卫生部门的角度为应对当前危机的可能政策措施提供参考:当前危机的性质是什么,它在哪些方面与以往经历不同?以往危机有哪些关键教训?各国政府此前如何应对以保护健康免受此类宏观经济冲击?我们如何提高如今采取积极行动的可能性?
方法/途径:本章回顾了有关金融危机对健康结果和卫生支出的影响以及以往在经济衰退期间保护人类发展的政策努力成效的文献。它还对家庭调查和卫生支出数据进行了分析,以追踪金融危机期间家庭的就医行为和自付费用情况。
以往危机的证据表明,经济衰退期间与健康相关的影响可通过多种渠道发生。就业和收入减少的家庭所受影响可能表现为营养状况变差以及在需要时医疗保健利用率降低。家庭可能会陷入贫困,减少所需的卫生服务,并因在经济脆弱性增加时发生的健康冲击而导致消费减少。妇女、儿童、穷人以及非正规部门工人在危机中最有可能面临与健康相关的负面后果。由于收入减少、货币贬值以及外部援助资金可能减少,政府人均实际卫生支出可能会下降。财政状况薄弱的低收入国家可能最为脆弱。
以往的危机可为旨在保护健康结果和降低健康冲击带来的财务风险的政策制定提供参考。以往危机的证据表明,维持政府卫生支出总体水平的笼统策略往往并不成功,未能保护尤其是穷人获得优质卫生服务的机会。面对汇率疲软,确保获得基本卫生用品(在许多低收入国家这些用品是进口的)尤为重要。集中精力维持较低水平基本服务的供应,同时结合有针对性的需求侧方法,如有条件现金转移,可能比更宽泛的部门方法更有效。低收入国家可能需要采取具体的短期措施,以确保健康结果不受影响。