College of Criminal Justice, Northeastern University, Churchill Hall, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Prev Sci. 2010 Jun;11(2):115-25. doi: 10.1007/s11121-009-0159-4.
It is a widely held view--in both research and policy communities--that desirable effects on delinquency and later offending from early prevention trials will attenuate once they are "scaled-up" or "rolled-out" for wider public use. Some of the main reasons for this include a reduced level of risk, a more heterogeneous population, insufficient service infrastructure, and loss of program fidelity. If attenuation of program effects is not only possible but is highly probable, then the issue for researchers and policymakers should be how to preserve or even enhance effects in moving from efficacy trials to community effectiveness trials to broad-scale dissemination. This paper surveys the knowledge base in an effort to contribute to an improved understanding of the theoretical and empirical dimensions for successfully taking early crime prevention programs to scale. It also outlines some proposals for how future research can make progress on this critical policy issue.
这是一种普遍的观点——在研究和政策界都是如此——即早期预防试验对犯罪和后来犯罪的理想影响,一旦它们被“扩大规模”或“推广”以更广泛地供公众使用,就会减弱。造成这种情况的主要原因包括风险水平降低、人口更加异质、服务基础设施不足以及项目保真度丧失。如果项目效果的衰减不仅是可能的,而且极有可能发生,那么研究人员和政策制定者的问题应该是如何在从疗效试验到社区效果试验再到大规模传播的过程中保持甚至增强效果。本文调查了知识基础,努力增进对成功推广早期犯罪预防计划的理论和经验维度的理解。它还概述了一些关于未来研究如何在这一关键政策问题上取得进展的建议。