Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, Kentucky 60614-3363, USA.
Pediatrics. 2010 Jan;125(1):67-74. doi: 10.1542/peds.2008-3632. Epub 2009 Dec 7.
Our objective was to conduct a pilot study to identify discriminating bruising characteristics and to model those findings into a decision tool for screening children at high risk for abuse.
A case-control study of children 0 to 48 months of age who were admitted to a PICU because of trauma was performed. Case subjects (N = 42) were victims of physical abuse, and control subjects (N = 53) were children admitted because of accidental trauma during the same time period. Bruising characteristics (total number and body region) and patient age were compared for children with abusive versus accidental trauma. The development of a decision rule for predicting abusive trauma was accomplished with the fitting of a classification and regression tree through binary recursive partitioning.
Ninety-five patients were studied. Seventy-one (33 of 42 patients in the abuse group and 38 of 53 in the accident group) were found to have bruising, and the characteristics were modeled. Characteristics predictive of abuse were bruising on the torso, ear, or neck for a child <or=4 years of age and bruising in any region for an infant <4 months of age. A bruising clinical decision rule was derived, with a sensitivity of 97% and a specificity of 84% for predicting abuse.
Discriminating differences exist in bruising characteristics for abusive versus accidental trauma. The body region- and age-based bruising clinical decision rule model functions as a clinically sensible screening tool to identify young children who require further evaluation for abuse.
本研究旨在识别具有鉴别意义的瘀伤特征,并将这些发现构建成一种用于筛查高虐待风险儿童的工具。
对因创伤而入住儿科重症监护病房(PICU)的 0 至 48 月龄儿童进行了一项病例对照研究。病例组(n=42)为身体虐待受害者,对照组(n=53)为同期因意外创伤而入院的儿童。比较了虐待性与非虐待性创伤患儿的瘀伤特征(总数和身体区域)和患者年龄。通过二元递归分区,采用分类回归树拟合方法制定了用于预测虐待性创伤的决策规则。
共纳入 95 例患儿。71 例(42 例病例组中 33 例,53 例对照组中 38 例)存在瘀伤,对其特征进行了建模。对于<4 岁的儿童,躯干部、耳部或颈部有瘀伤,或<4 月龄的婴儿任何部位有瘀伤,提示可能存在虐待;对于预测虐待,这些特征具有一定的提示意义。由此制定了瘀伤临床决策规则,其对虐待的预测具有 97%的敏感性和 84%的特异性。
虐待性与非虐待性创伤的瘀伤特征存在明显差异。基于身体区域和年龄的瘀伤临床决策规则模型可作为一种有临床意义的筛查工具,用于识别需要进一步评估虐待风险的幼儿。