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2008 年肯尼亚大选后暴力事件后,西部肯尼亚爆发的霍乱疫情死亡率很高。

High mortality in a cholera outbreak in western Kenya after post-election violence in 2008.

机构信息

Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program-Kenya, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya.

出版信息

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2009 Dec;81(6):1085-90. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2009.09-0400.

Abstract

In 2008, a cholera outbreak with unusually high mortality occurred in western Kenya during civil unrest after disputed presidential elections. Through active case finding, we found a 200% increase in fatal cases and a 37% increase in surviving cases over passively reported cases; the case-fatality ratio increased from 5.5% to 11.4%. In conditional logistic regression of a matched case-control study of fatal versus non-fatal cholera infection, home antibiotic treatment (odds ratio [OR] 0.049; 95% CI: < 0.001-0.43), hospitalization (OR, 0.066; 95% CI, 0.001-0.54), treatment in government-operated health facilities (OR, 0.15; 95% CI, 0.015-0.73), and receiving education about cholera by health workers (OR, 0.19; 95% CI, 0.018-0.96) were protective against death. Among 13 hospitalized fatal cases, chart review showed inadequate intravenous and oral hydration and substantial staff and supply shortages at the time of admission. Cholera mortality was under-reported and very high, in part because of factors exacerbated by widespread post-election violence.

摘要

2008 年,在肯尼亚西部,一场霍乱疫情在有争议的总统选举后的内乱中爆发,死亡率异常高。通过主动病例发现,我们发现死亡病例增加了 200%,存活病例增加了 37%,而被动报告的病例则有所增加;病死率从 5.5%上升到 11.4%。在对致命性与非致命性霍乱感染进行病例对照研究的条件逻辑回归中,家庭抗生素治疗(比值比 [OR] 0.049;95%CI:<0.001-0.43)、住院治疗(OR,0.066;95%CI,0.001-0.54)、在政府运营的卫生设施中治疗(OR,0.15;95%CI,0.015-0.73)和接受卫生工作者关于霍乱的教育(OR,0.19;95%CI,0.018-0.96)可降低死亡风险。在 13 例住院死亡病例中,图表审查显示,入院时静脉和口服补液不足,以及大量员工和供应短缺。霍乱死亡率被低估且非常高,部分原因是选举后暴力事件加剧了各种因素。

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