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7. 切尔诺贝利灾难后的死亡率。

7. Mortality after the Chernobyl catastrophe.

机构信息

Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2009 Nov;1181:192-216. doi: 10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.04828.x.

Abstract

A detailed study reveals that 3.8-4.0% of all deaths in the contaminated territories of Ukraine and Russia from 1990 to 2004 were caused by the Chernobyl catastrophe. The lack of evidence of increased mortality in other affected countries is not proof of the absence of effects from the radioactive fallout. Since 1990, mortality among liquidators has exceeded the mortality rate in corresponding population groups. From 112,000 to 125,000 liquidators died before 2005--that is, some 15% of the 830,000 members of the Chernobyl cleanup teams. The calculations suggest that the Chernobyl catastrophe has already killed several hundred thousand human beings in a population of several hundred million that was unfortunate enough to live in territories affected by the fallout. The number of Chernobyl victims will continue to grow over many future generations.

摘要

一项详细的研究表明,1990 年至 2004 年期间,乌克兰和俄罗斯受污染地区有 3.8%至 4.0%的死亡人数是切尔诺贝利灾难造成的。其他受影响国家没有证据表明死亡率增加,这并不能证明放射性沉降物没有影响。自 1990 年以来,清理人员的死亡率超过了相应人群的死亡率。在 2005 年之前,有 11.2 万至 12.5 万名清理人员死亡,也就是说,83 万名切尔诺贝利清理人员中约有 15%的人死亡。计算表明,在这个不幸居住在受放射性沉降物影响地区的数亿人口中,切尔诺贝利灾难已经导致数十万人死亡。未来许多代人中,切尔诺贝利的受害者人数还将继续增加。

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