Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services, P.O. Box 7004, St. Olavs plass, N-0130 Oslo, Norway.
Health Res Policy Syst. 2009 Dec 16;7 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):S16. doi: 10.1186/1478-4505-7-S1-S16.
This article is part of a series written for people responsible for making decisions about health policies and programmes and for those who support these decision makers. In this article, we address the use of evidence to inform judgements about the balance between the pros and cons of policy and programme options. We suggest five questions that can be considered when making these judgements. These are: 1. What are the options that are being compared? 2. What are the most important potential outcomes of the options being compared? 3. What is the best estimate of the impact of the options being compared for each important outcome? 4. How confident can policymakers and others be in the estimated impacts? 5. Is a formal economic model likely to facilitate decision making?
本文是为负责制定卫生政策和规划的人员以及为这些决策者提供支持的人员撰写的一系列文章之一。在本文中,我们将讨论如何利用证据来判断政策和规划方案备选方案的利弊。我们提出了在做出这些判断时可以考虑的五个问题。它们是:1. 正在比较的选项是什么?2. 正在比较的选项的最重要潜在结果是什么?3. 对于每个重要结果,比较选项的影响的最佳估计是多少?4. 政策制定者和其他人对估计的影响有多大信心?5. 经济模型是否有助于决策制定?