Department of Tropical Hygiene and Public Health, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany.
Glob Health Action. 2009 Apr 15;2. doi: 10.3402/gha.v2i0.1909.
Malaria is the leading cause of death among children less than five years of age in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), however, precise estimates on the burden of malaria are lacking. The aim of this study was to describe temporal trends for malaria and all-cause mortality by combining a series of clinical and intervention studies conducted in Burkina Faso.
Data from a demographic surveillance system was used to follow-up children under five years who participated in five observational and intervention studies between June 1999 and December 2004 in rural north-western Burkina Faso. Mortality data was analyzed with cause-specific mortality ascertained using the verbal autopsy method. Person-years (PY) of observations were computed and age-standardized mortality rates (MR) for all-causes and malaria (adjusted for missing causes of death) were calculated. Rate ratios to investigate mortality variations over years were calculated using multivariate Poisson regression.
The study followed 6,387 children aged less than five years (mean follow-up: 2.8 years; 16,099 PY). During the study period, 443 deaths were registered with malaria accounting for 49% of all deaths. All-cause and malaria-specific MR were 26.7 (95% CI: 24.2-29.2) and 15.8 (95% CI: 14.217.7) per 1,000 PY. All-cause MR declined over years of follow-up (from 31.2 to 16.3 per 1,000 PY in 1999/2000 to 2004, respectively) but malaria MR remained relatively stable (from 15.8 to 12.1 per 1,000 PY in 1999/2000 to 2004, respectively) resulting in an increasing relative effect of malaria on all-cause mortality. Variations in all-cause and malaria-specific mortality were observed with increasing age and across village town clusters.
The findings of this study support the continuously decreasing trend of all-cause mortality in most of SSA, but call for more efforts to comprehensively address malaria with existing control tools such as insecticide-treated bed nets and effective first-line combination therapies.
在撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA),疟疾是五岁以下儿童死亡的主要原因,但缺乏对疟疾负担的准确估计。本研究的目的是结合在布基纳法索进行的一系列临床和干预研究,描述疟疾和全因死亡率的时间趋势。
使用人口监测系统的数据,对 1999 年 6 月至 2004 年 12 月期间在布基纳法索西北部农村地区参加五项观察性和干预性研究的五岁以下儿童进行随访。使用死因特定死亡率确定方法(死因推断)分析死亡率数据。计算观察的人年(PY)并计算全因和疟疾(调整死因缺失)的标准化死亡率(MR)。使用多变量泊松回归计算死亡率随年份变化的比率比以调查死亡率的变化。
本研究共随访了 6387 名五岁以下儿童(平均随访 2.8 年;16099PY)。研究期间,共登记了 443 例死亡病例,其中疟疾占 49%。全因和疟疾特异性 MR 分别为 26.7(95%CI:24.2-29.2)和 15.8(95%CI:14.217.7)/1000PY。全因死亡率随随访年限下降(1999/2000 年至 2004 年,每 1000PY 分别从 31.2 降至 16.3),但疟疾 MR 相对稳定(1999/2000 年至 2004 年,每 1000PY 分别从 15.8 降至 12.1),导致疟疾对全因死亡率的相对影响增加。全因和疟疾特异性死亡率随年龄增加和村庄城镇群的不同而变化。
本研究结果支持撒哈拉以南非洲大部分地区全因死亡率持续下降的趋势,但需要进一步努力,利用现有控制工具(如经杀虫剂处理的蚊帐和有效的一线联合疗法)全面解决疟疾问题。