Center for Infection and Immunity, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA.
PLoS One. 2009 Dec 31;4(12):e8540. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0008540.
Initial reports in May 2009 of the novel influenza strain H1N1pdm estimated a case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.6%, similar to that of seasonal influenza. In July 2009, however, Argentina reported 3056 cases with 137 deaths, representing a CFR of 4.5%. Potential explanations for increased CFR included virus reassortment or genetic drift, or infection of a more vulnerable population. Virus genomic sequencing of 26 Argentinian samples representing both severe and mild disease indicated no evidence of reassortment, mutations associated with resistance to antiviral drugs, or genetic drift that might contribute to virulence. Furthermore, no evidence was found for increased frequency of risk factors for H1N1pdm disease.
METHODS/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We examined nasopharyngeal swab samples (NPS) from 199 cases of H1N1pdm infection from Argentina with MassTag PCR, testing for 33 additional microbial agents. The study population consisted of 199 H1N1pdm-infected subjects sampled between 23 June and 4 July 2009. Thirty-nine had severe disease defined as death (n = 20) or hospitalization (n = 19); 160 had mild disease. At least one additional agent of potential pathogenic importance was identified in 152 samples (76%), including Streptococcus pneumoniae (n = 62); Haemophilus influenzae (n = 104); human respiratory syncytial virus A (n = 11) and B (n = 1); human rhinovirus A (n = 1) and B (n = 4); human coronaviruses 229E (n = 1) and OC43 (n = 2); Klebsiella pneumoniae (n = 2); Acinetobacter baumannii (n = 2); Serratia marcescens (n = 1); and Staphylococcus aureus (n = 35) and methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA, n = 6). The presence of S. pneumoniae was strongly correlated with severe disease. S. pneumoniae was present in 56.4% of severe cases versus 25% of mild cases; more than one-third of H1N1pdm NPS with S. pneumoniae were from subjects with severe disease (22 of 62 S. pneumoniae-positive NPS, p = 0.0004). In subjects 6 to 55 years of age, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) of severe disease in the presence of S. pneumoniae was 125.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 16.95, 928.72; p<0.0001).
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The association of S. pneumoniae with morbidity and mortality is established in the current and previous influenza pandemics. However, this study is the first to demonstrate the prognostic significance of non-invasive antemortem diagnosis of S. pneumoniae infection and may provide insights into clinical management.
2009 年 5 月有关新型流感病毒 H1N1pdm 的初步报告估计病死率(CFR)为 0.6%,与季节性流感相似。然而,2009 年 7 月,阿根廷报告了 3056 例病例,死亡 137 例,CFR 为 4.5%。病死率增加的潜在解释包括病毒重配或遗传漂移,或感染更脆弱的人群。对代表严重和轻度疾病的 26 个阿根廷样本的病毒基因组测序表明,没有证据表明存在重组、与抗流感药物耐药相关的突变或可能导致毒力增加的遗传漂移。此外,没有发现 H1N1pdm 疾病危险因素发生频率增加的证据。
方法/主要发现:我们使用 MassTag PCR 检测了来自阿根廷的 199 例 H1N1pdm 感染的鼻咽拭子样本(NPS),检测了 33 种其他微生物。研究人群包括 2009 年 6 月 23 日至 7 月 4 日期间 199 例 H1N1pdm 感染的患者。39 例为严重疾病,定义为死亡(n = 20)或住院(n = 19);160 例为轻度疾病。在 152 例样本中至少发现了一种潜在致病重要性的其他病原体(76%),包括肺炎链球菌(n = 62);流感嗜血杆菌(n = 104);人呼吸道合胞病毒 A(n = 11)和 B(n = 1);人鼻病毒 A(n = 1)和 B(n = 4);人冠状病毒 229E(n = 1)和 OC43(n = 2);肺炎克雷伯菌(n = 2);鲍曼不动杆菌(n = 2);粘质沙雷氏菌(n = 1)和金黄色葡萄球菌(n = 35)和耐甲氧西林金黄色葡萄球菌(MRSA,n = 6)。肺炎链球菌的存在与严重疾病密切相关。在严重病例中,肺炎链球菌的存在率为 56.4%,而在轻度病例中为 25%;在有肺炎链球菌的 H1N1pdm NPS 中,超过三分之一来自严重疾病患者(62 例肺炎链球菌阳性 NPS 中有 22 例,p = 0.0004)。在 6 至 55 岁的患者中,肺炎链球菌存在时严重疾病的校正优势比(OR)为 125.5(95%置信区间 [CI],16.95,928.72;p<0.0001)。
结论/意义:肺炎链球菌与发病率和死亡率的相关性已在当前和以前的流感大流行中得到证实。然而,本研究首次证明了非侵入性生前诊断肺炎链球菌感染的预后意义,并可能为临床管理提供新的思路。