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西班牙马德里地区 75 岁以上人群因心血管和呼吸道疾病住院的短期细颗粒物浓度效应。

Short-term effect of concentrations of fine particulate matter on hospital admissions due to cardiovascular and respiratory causes among the over-75 age group in Madrid, Spain.

机构信息

Cancer and Environmental Epidemiology Unit, National Centre for Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Madrid, Spain.

出版信息

Public Health. 2010 Jan;124(1):28-36. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2009.11.007. Epub 2010 Jan 8.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to analyse the effect of daily mean concentrations of fine particulate matter (diameter <2.5 microm; PM(2.5)) on hospital admissions due to circulatory and respiratory causes among an elderly population (>75 years) in Madrid between 2003 and 2005.

STUDY DESIGN

Ecological longitudinal time-series study.

METHODS

The dependent variable used was the daily number of emergency hospital admissions registered at the Gregorio Marañón University Teaching Hospital. The following causes were analysed: all causes [International Classification of Diseases 9th Version (ICD-9:1-799)], respiratory causes (ICD-9: 460-519) and circulatory causes (ICD-9: 390-459). Analysis focused on subjects over 75 years of age. Daily records of mean concentrations of PM(2.5), PM(10), NO(2), NO(x), SO(2) and O(3) in Madrid were used as independent variables. The control variables were seasonalities, trend, influenza epidemics, noise and pollen concentrations. Poisson regression models were constructed to calculate the relative risk (RR) and attributable risk (AR). Analyses were performed for the entire year and for the winter and summer.

RESULTS

PM(2.5) was the single primary pollutant that proved statistically significant in all models. The functional relationship with hospital admissions was linear and had no threshold. Taking the year as a whole, the RRs among people over 75 years of age for an increase of 10 microg/m(3) in PM(2.5) concentrations were: 1.038 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.022-1.053] for all causes at lag 0; 1.062 (95% CI 1.036-1.089) for circulatory causes at lag 0; and 1.049 (95% CI 1.019-1.078) for respiratory causes at lag 3. The ARs were 3.6%, 5.9% and 4.6%, respectively. These risks increased in winter and no statistically significant associations were observed in summer. PM(2.5) was the only primary pollutant that showed a statistically significant association with hospital admissions among people over 75 years of age in Madrid across the study period.

CONCLUSION

Measures should be implemented to reduce PM(2.5) concentrations in Madrid.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在分析 2003 年至 2005 年间马德里 75 岁以上老年人因循环和呼吸系统疾病住院的每日平均细颗粒物(直径<2.5 微米;PM(2.5))浓度对医院入院率的影响。

研究设计

生态纵向时间序列研究。

方法

使用登记在 Gregorio Marañón 大学教学医院的每日急诊入院人数作为因变量。分析了以下原因:所有原因[国际疾病分类第 9 版(ICD-9:1-799)]、呼吸系统原因(ICD-9:460-519)和循环系统原因(ICD-9:390-459)。分析集中在 75 岁以上的人群。马德里每日平均 PM(2.5)、PM(10)、NO(2)、NO(x)、SO(2)和 O(3)浓度记录用作自变量。控制变量为季节性、趋势、流感流行、噪声和花粉浓度。构建泊松回归模型以计算相对风险(RR)和归因风险(AR)。对全年、冬季和夏季进行了分析。

结果

PM(2.5)是唯一在所有模型中具有统计学意义的单一主要污染物。与医院入院率的函数关系呈线性且无阈值。就全年而言,75 岁以上人群因 PM(2.5)浓度增加 10μg/m(3)而导致的 RR 为:0 时所有原因的 1.038[95%置信区间(CI)1.022-1.053];0 时循环系统原因的 1.062(95%CI 1.036-1.089);3 时呼吸系统原因的 1.049(95%CI 1.019-1.078)。相应的 AR 分别为 3.6%、5.9%和 4.6%。这些风险在冬季增加,而在夏季则没有统计学意义的关联。PM(2.5)是马德里 75 岁以上人群在整个研究期间与医院入院率具有统计学显著关联的唯一主要污染物。

结论

应采取措施降低马德里的 PM(2.5)浓度。

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