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马德里(西班牙)老年人因特定原因导致的颗粒物空气污染和短期死亡率:季节性差异。

Particulate air pollution and short-term mortality due to specific causes among the elderly in Madrid (Spain): seasonal differences.

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine, San Carlos University Teaching Hospital, Madrid, Spain.

出版信息

Int J Environ Health Res. 2011 Oct;21(5):372-90. doi: 10.1080/09603123.2011.560251. Epub 2011 May 24.

Abstract

A time-series study was conducted to ascertain the short-term effects of different-sized airborne particulate matter (PM) on daily respiratory and cardiovascular cause-specific mortality in winter and summer, among subjects aged over 75 years in Madrid. Poisson regression was used to analyse the time-series, in which the dependent variable was daily mortality due to different specific respiratory and circulatory causes, and the principal independent variables were daily mean PM10, PM2.5 and PM10-2.5 concentrations; other variables: other air pollutants (chemicals, biotic and acoustic), influenza, trend, seasonality and autocorrelation of the series. The results indicated an association between coarser PM fractions (PM10 and PM10-2.5) and respiratory-specific mortality on the one hand, and between PM2.5 and cardiovascular-specific mortality on the other. While the risk of mortality due to exposure to particulate matter was greater in summer than in winter, this difference was statistically significant solely for total organic-cause mortality.

摘要

一项时间序列研究旨在确定冬季和夏季,马德里 75 岁以上人群中不同粒径的空气悬浮颗粒物(PM)对每日呼吸和心血管特定原因死亡率的短期影响。采用泊松回归分析时间序列,其中因变量为不同特定呼吸和循环原因的每日死亡率,主要的独立变量为每日平均 PM10、PM2.5 和 PM10-2.5 浓度;其他变量:其他空气污染物(化学物质、生物和声音)、流感、趋势、季节性和序列的自相关性。结果表明,较粗的 PM 颗粒(PM10 和 PM10-2.5)与呼吸特定死亡率之间存在关联,而 PM2.5 与心血管特定死亡率之间存在关联。虽然由于暴露于颗粒物而导致的死亡率在夏季高于冬季,但这种差异仅在总有机死因死亡率方面具有统计学意义。

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