Department of Epidemiology, Medical Statistics and Environmental Health, College of Medicine, University of Ibadan, Nigeria.
Public Health. 2010 Jan;124(1):24-7. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2009.11.004. Epub 2010 Jan 12.
To determine the completeness of reporting of suspected measles cases to a local health authority in southern Nigeria.
Retrospective.
Suspected measles cases were identified in all 23 health facilities in Aniocha South Local Government Area (LGA) of Delta State, Southern Nigeria by retrospective review of the health facilities' registers and the LGA surveillance records between 1 January 2007 and 30 June 2008. A capture-recapture method was used to obtain an estimate of the total number of measles cases expected for the study area within the study period. The completeness of reporting was calculated as a ratio of the number of measles cases reported to the LGA by hospitals to the number of cases estimated by the capture-recapture method.
An estimate of 87 measles cases was obtained with the capture-recapture method. The overall completeness of reporting was 11.5% (95% confidence interval 8.1-19.6%).
The number of suspected measles cases seems to have been grossly under-reported in this area.
确定尼日利亚南部阿南布拉南地方政府区（LGA）向当地卫生当局报告疑似麻疹病例的完整性。
回顾性研究。
通过回顾 2007 年 1 月 1 日至 2008 年 6 月 30 日期间所有 23 家卫生机构的卫生机构登记册和 LGA 监测记录，在尼日利亚南部三角洲州阿南布拉南 LGA 的所有 23 家卫生机构中确定疑似麻疹病例。使用捕获-再捕获方法获得研究期间研究区域内预期发生的麻疹病例总数的估计值。报告的完整性计算为医院向 LGA 报告的麻疹病例数与捕获-再捕获方法估计的病例数之比。
捕获-再捕获法获得 87 例麻疹病例的估计值。总体报告完整性为 11.5%（95%置信区间 8.1-19.6%）。
该地区疑似麻疹病例的报告数量似乎严重不足。
