Marie Stopes International, London, England.
Bull World Health Organ. 2009 Nov;87(11):852-7. doi: 10.2471/blt.08.062562.
The links between rapid population growth and concerns regarding climate change have received little attention. Some commentators have argued that slowing population growth is necessary to reduce further rises in carbon emissions. Others have objected that this would give rise to dehumanizing 'population control' programmes in developing countries. Yet the perspective of the developing countries that will be worst affected by climate change has been almost completely ignored by the scientific literature. This deficit is addressed by this paper, which analyses the first 40 National Adaptation Programmes of Action reports submitted by governments of least-developed countries to the Global Environment Facility for funding. Of these documents, 93% identified at least one of three ways in which demographic trends interact with the effects of climate change: (i) faster degradation of the sources of natural resources; (ii) increased demand for scarce resources; and (iii) heightened human vulnerability to extreme weather events. These findings suggest that voluntary access to family planning services should be made more available to poor communities in least-developed countries. We stress the distinction between this approach, which prioritizes the welfare of poor communities affected by climate change, and the argument that population growth should be slowed to limit increases in global carbon emissions. The paper concludes by calling for increased support for rights-based family planning services, including those integrated with HIV/AIDS services, as an important complementary measure to climate change adaptation programmes in developing countries.
人口快速增长与气候变化问题之间的关联尚未得到足够重视。一些评论家认为,减缓人口增长对于降低碳排放的进一步上升是必要的。另一些人则反对这一观点,认为这将导致发展中国家出现不人道的“人口控制”计划。然而,受气候变化影响最严重的发展中国家的观点在科学文献中几乎完全被忽视。本文分析了最不发达国家政府向全球环境基金提交的前 40 份国家适应行动计划报告,以此来弥补这一缺陷。这些文件中有 93%至少确定了人口趋势与气候变化影响相互作用的三种方式之一:(i)自然资源来源更快退化;(ii)稀缺资源需求增加;以及(iii)人类对极端天气事件的脆弱性增加。这些发现表明,应向最不发达国家的贫困社区提供更多的计划生育服务。我们强调这种方法与认为人口增长应减缓以限制全球碳排放增加的论点之间的区别。本文最后呼吁增加对基于权利的计划生育服务的支持,包括与艾滋病毒/艾滋病服务相结合的计划生育服务,作为发展中国家气候变化适应计划的重要补充措施。