Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz.
BMC Public Health. 2010 Jan 19;10:24. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-10-24.
Carlsen and coworkers (1992) reviewed 61 heterogeneous observational studies on semen quality published between 1938 and 1990. This review indicates that mean sperm density decreased significantly between 1940 and 1990. An extended meta-analysis with 101 studies confirmed a decline in sperm density for the period from 1934 to 1996 (2000). The key message of the meta-analyses is that sperm counts have decreased globally by about 50% over the past decades. This assessment has been questioned.
A major methodological problem of the meta-analysis is the use of data collected in different countries, at different times, on different populations and with different methods of semen analysis. Furthermore, the results of studies concerning semen analysis are frequently biased e.g. by selection criteria of volunteers. In most studies on human semen characteristics the populations under study are insufficiently defined and the study participants are not a representative population sample. The incidence of testicular cancer has increased in Caucasian men worldwide. The investigation of common risk factors for male reproductive disorders requires well designed epidemiological studies and the collection of individual data.
Former meta-analyses of sperm count data show a global downward trend. This conclusion should be interpreted with caution. The included studies are of great heterogeneity due to geographical and/or ethnical variation, different study designs and different methodological standards. Population-based prospective studies are needed to investigate secular trends in male reproductive disorders.
卡尔森等人(1992 年)回顾了 1938 年至 1990 年间发表的 61 项精液质量的异质观察性研究。该综述表明,1940 年至 1990 年间,平均精子密度显著下降。一项包含 101 项研究的扩展荟萃分析证实,1934 年至 1996 年期间精子密度下降(2000 年)。荟萃分析的关键信息是,在过去几十年中,全球精子计数下降了约 50%。这一评估受到了质疑。
荟萃分析的一个主要方法学问题是使用在不同国家、不同时间、不同人群和不同精液分析方法收集的数据。此外,精液分析研究的结果常常存在偏差,例如志愿者的选择标准。在大多数关于人类精液特征的研究中,研究人群的定义不充分,研究参与者不是代表性的人群样本。在全球范围内,白种男性的睾丸癌发病率有所增加。调查男性生殖障碍的常见危险因素需要精心设计的流行病学研究和个体数据的收集。
以前的精子计数数据荟萃分析显示出全球下降趋势。这个结论应该谨慎解释。由于地理位置和/或种族差异、不同的研究设计和不同的方法学标准,纳入的研究具有很大的异质性。需要进行基于人群的前瞻性研究,以调查男性生殖障碍的长期趋势。