Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada.
J Environ Manage. 2010 May;91(5):1063-70. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.11.009. Epub 2010 Feb 9.
A novel deterministic multi-period mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model for the power generation planning of electric systems is described and evaluated in this paper. The model is developed with the objective of determining the optimal mix of energy supply sources and pollutant mitigation options that meet a specified electricity demand and CO(2) emission targets at minimum cost. Several time-dependent parameters are included in the model formulation; they include forecasted energy demand, fuel price variability, construction lead time, conservation initiatives, and increase in fixed operational and maintenance costs over time. The developed model is applied to two case studies. The objective of the case studies is to examine the economical, structural, and environmental effects that would result if the electricity sector was required to reduce its CO(2) emissions to a specified limit.
本文描述并评估了一种新颖的确定性多时段混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型,用于电力系统的发电规划。该模型的开发目标是确定最佳的能源供应组合和污染物减排方案,以最低成本满足特定的电力需求和 CO(2)排放目标。模型公式中包含了几个时变参数,包括预测的能源需求、燃料价格变化、建设前置时间、节能措施以及随着时间推移固定运营和维护成本的增加。所开发的模型应用于两个案例研究。案例研究的目的是检验如果电力部门被要求将其 CO(2)排放量降低到特定限值,将会产生的经济、结构和环境影响。