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道路交通事故中酒精的安全绩效指标——国际比较、有效性和数据质量。

Safety Performance Indicator for alcohol in road accidents--international comparison, validity and data quality.

机构信息

Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalléen 21, NO 0349 Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2010 Mar;42(2):595-603. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2009.10.005. Epub 2009 Nov 1.

Abstract

Safety Performance Indicators, SPIs, are developed for various areas within road safety such as speed, car occupant protection, alcohol and drugs, vehicle safety, etc. SPIs can be used to indicate the road safety situation and to compare road safety performance between countries and over time and to understand the process leading to accidents, helping to select the measures to reduce them. This article describes an alcohol SPI defined as the percentage of fatalities resulting from accidents involving at least one driver impaired by alcohol. The calculation of the alcohol SPI for 26 European countries shows that the SPI varies from 4.4% in Bulgaria to 72.2% in Italy. These results raise the question if the results reflect the real situation or if there is a methodological explanation. To answer this question three different studies were carried out: comparison with other alcohol SPIs, in-depth studies of data quality in seven selected countries, and a study of correlations between the SPI and influencing factors. These studies indicate clearly that there is a need to improve quality of the data used for the alcohol SPI. Most importantly, the total number of drivers involved in fatal accidents, the number tested for alcohol and the number not tested, should be reported, in addition to the number of alcohol positive and negative drivers among those tested. Until these improvements are made, the validity of this SPI seems poor and comparison of the alcohol SPI results across countries should be made with caution.

摘要

安全绩效指标(SPIs)是为道路安全的各个领域制定的,如速度、汽车乘员保护、酒精和毒品、车辆安全等。SPIs 可用于指示道路安全状况,并比较不同国家和不同时期的道路安全绩效,以了解导致事故的过程,帮助选择减少事故的措施。本文描述了一个定义为因至少一名受酒精影响的驾驶员造成事故而导致的死亡人数百分比的酒精 SPI。对 26 个欧洲国家的酒精 SPI 的计算表明,SPI 从保加利亚的 4.4%到意大利的 72.2%不等。这些结果引发了一个问题,即这些结果是否反映了真实情况,或者是否存在方法学解释。为了回答这个问题,进行了三项不同的研究:与其他酒精 SPI 的比较、对七个选定国家数据质量的深入研究,以及对 SPI 与影响因素之间相关性的研究。这些研究清楚地表明,需要提高用于酒精 SPI 的数据质量。最重要的是,除了测试中酒精阳性和阴性驾驶员的数量外,还应报告涉及致命事故的驾驶员总数、测试酒精的人数以及未测试的人数。在进行这些改进之前,该 SPI 的有效性似乎很差,并且应该谨慎比较各国的酒精 SPI 结果。

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