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解决并推动数据缺失问题。

Addressing and advancing the problem of missing data.

作者信息

Walton Marc K

机构信息

Office of Translational Science, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.

出版信息

J Biopharm Stat. 2009 Nov;19(6):945-56. doi: 10.1080/10543400903238959.

Abstract

Missing data can pose substantial risk of reaching incorrect conclusions from clinical studies. Imputation for the missing values is common, but can supply only an approximate result desired to be "close enough" to the intended true result. Prevention optimally addresses the issue. Knowledge of the effective techniques to minimize the problem, likely to vary with clinical setting, is presently inadequate. Formal evaluation of preventative methods should be encouraged and lead to publication of the assessments. Designers of clinical trials should also plan for study analysis where missing values occur. Simple imputation methods have been used and may be sufficient in some settings, but have potential to introduce bias and inaccuracy into the statistical analysis. More complex methods such as multiple imputation potentially offer reduced risk of bias. Multiple imputation also offers the potential for study designers to include some auxiliary outcome assessments that may substantially improve the quality of the imputation with limited added burden to the study. In all cases, sensitivity analyses examining the importance of the specific preferred method as compared to methods with different underlying assumptions is essential to assessing how adequately the missing data issue has been addressed.

摘要

缺失数据可能会给临床研究得出错误结论带来重大风险。对缺失值进行插补很常见,但只能提供一个希望与预期真实结果“足够接近”的近似结果。预防是解决该问题的最佳方法。目前,对于有效技术的了解不足,这些技术可能因临床环境而异,旨在将问题最小化。应鼓励对预防方法进行正式评估并发表评估结果。临床试验设计者还应针对出现缺失值的情况制定研究分析计划。简单的插补方法已经被使用,在某些情况下可能就足够了,但有可能在统计分析中引入偏差和不准确。更复杂的方法,如多重插补,可能会降低偏差风险。多重插补还为研究设计者提供了纳入一些辅助结局评估的可能性,这可能会在给研究增加有限负担的情况下大幅提高插补质量。在所有情况下,与具有不同潜在假设的方法相比,检验特定首选方法重要性的敏感性分析对于评估缺失数据问题的解决程度至关重要。

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