Alexander F E, Ricketts T J, McKinney P A, Cartwright R A
Leukaemia Research Fund Centre for Clinical Epidemiology, University of Leeds, UK.
Int J Cancer. 1991 Apr 22;48(1):10-4. doi: 10.1002/ijc.2910480103.
Risk of Hodgkin's disease (HD) in young adults has frequently been associated with limited access to social contact in childhood and related correlates of childhood social class. In addition, case clustering has sometimes been associated with influxes of population into relatively isolated communities. To investigate this further, disease incidence rates for HD at ages 0 to 24 from a specialist tumour registry have been regressed against relevant electoral ward characteristics derived from routine census and Ordnance Survey data for England and Wales. Proximity to built-up areas and higher socio-economic status (SES) emerge as significant risk factors. The relative risks are 1.21 (95% Cl: 1.01-1.46) for high SES wards and 1.29 (1.05-1.58) for "inner zone" wards. No association of disease risk with distance travelled to work was apparent. Regions farther from built-up areas have a lower overall incidence and a shift, particularly for males, of the age distribution towards older ages. The distribution resembles the intermediate pattern for HD reported from European rural areas of low SES but never previously for high SES. Isolated areas also show an increased intensity of spatial clustering (29% of cases being classified as clustered). These findings have implications for the 'late host response' model which suggest a viral aetiology for Hodgkin's disease in young people and provide a basis for future analytical studies.
年轻成年人患霍奇金淋巴瘤(HD)的风险常常与童年时期社交接触机会有限以及童年社会阶层的相关因素有关。此外,病例聚集有时与人口涌入相对孤立的社区有关。为了进一步研究这一问题,利用来自英格兰和威尔士常规人口普查及地形测量数据得出的相关选区特征,对某专业肿瘤登记处0至24岁HD的疾病发病率进行了回归分析。靠近建成区和较高的社会经济地位(SES)成为显著的风险因素。高SES选区的相对风险为1.21(95%置信区间:1.01 - 1.46),“内城区”选区的相对风险为1.29(1.05 - 1.58)。未发现疾病风险与上班通勤距离之间存在关联。远离建成区的地区总体发病率较低,且年龄分布,尤其是男性的年龄分布向老年偏移。这种分布类似于欧洲低SES农村地区报告的HD中间模式,但此前在高SES地区从未出现过。孤立地区还显示出空间聚集强度增加(29%的病例被归类为聚集性病例)。这些发现对“晚期宿主反应”模型具有启示意义,该模型认为年轻人的霍奇金淋巴瘤由病毒引起,同时也为未来的分析研究提供了基础。