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听神经瘤患者的管理:马尔可夫决策分析。

Management of patients with acoustic neuromas: a Markov decision analysis.

机构信息

Section of Otolaryngology, Dartmouth Medical School, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, New Hampshire 03756, USA.

出版信息

Laryngoscope. 2010 Apr;120(4):783-90. doi: 10.1002/lary.20819.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: The management of patients with small (<1.5 cm) acoustic neuromas is controversial. Immediate treatment via microsurgical resection or radiosurgery is often advocated. A period of observation is sometimes advised followed by microsurgery or radiosurgery for tumors that demonstrate growth during the observation period. The purpose of this study is to calculate quality-adjusted life expectancy for the most commonly applied management strategies in hypothetical cohorts of patients of various ages.

STUDY DESIGN

Markov decision analysis; societal perspective.

METHODS

Assumptions used in creating this model and event probabilities were obtained from a thorough literature review. Key parameters were identified and defined by the best available evidence. The main outcome measure is the benefit derived from each management strategy in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Sensitivity analysis was used to define benchmark performance information for these parameters.

RESULTS

The benefit of a period of observation followed by radiosurgery, if needed, for significant tumor growth is greater then all other strategies for all age groups and both sexes. When compared to observation followed by microsurgery, the additional benefit is small. QALY totals for the two immediate treatment groups were significantly lower than that for the observation groups.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients of all ages, a period of observation during which tumor growth and hearing thresholds are closely monitored is the superior strategy. For tumors that grow substantially or when hearing deteriorates, definitive management via radiosurgery is recommended.

摘要

目的/假设:对于直径小于 1.5 厘米的小听神经瘤患者的治疗方法存在争议。通常提倡立即进行显微手术切除或放射外科治疗。有时也建议进行一段时间的观察,然后对在观察期间显示生长的肿瘤进行显微手术或放射外科治疗。本研究的目的是计算各种年龄假设患者群体中最常用的管理策略的质量调整生命预期。

研究设计

马尔可夫决策分析;社会视角。

方法

创建此模型和事件概率所使用的假设来自全面的文献回顾。通过最佳可用证据确定并定义关键参数。主要结果衡量标准是每种管理策略在质量调整生命年(QALYs)中的获益。敏感性分析用于定义这些参数的基准性能信息。

结果

对于因肿瘤显著生长而需要放射外科治疗的观察期后治疗策略,优于所有年龄段和性别群体的所有其他策略。与观察后进行显微手术相比,其额外获益较小。两个直接治疗组的 QALY 总数明显低于观察组。

结论

对于所有年龄段的患者,在密切监测肿瘤生长和听力阈值的情况下进行观察期是更好的策略。对于生长较大或听力下降的肿瘤,建议通过放射外科进行明确的治疗。

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