Tamhane Ajit C, Mehta Cyrus R, Liu Lingyun
Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illnois 60208, USA.
Biometrics. 2010 Dec;66(4):1174-84. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2010.01402.x.
We consider a clinical trial with a primary and a secondary endpoint where the secondary endpoint is tested only if the primary endpoint is significant. The trial uses a group sequential procedure with two stages. The familywise error rate (FWER) of falsely concluding significance on either endpoint is to be controlled at a nominal level α. The type I error rate for the primary endpoint is controlled by choosing any α-level stopping boundary, e.g., the standard O'Brien-Fleming or the Pocock boundary. Given any particular α-level boundary for the primary endpoint, we study the problem of determining the boundary for the secondary endpoint to control the FWER. We study this FWER analytically and numerically and find that it is maximized when the correlation coefficient ρ between the two endpoints equals 1. For the four combinations consisting of O'Brien-Fleming and Pocock boundaries for the primary and secondary endpoints, the critical constants required to control the FWER are computed for different values of ρ. An ad hoc boundary is proposed for the secondary endpoint to address a practical concern that may be at issue in some applications. Numerical studies indicate that the O'Brien-Fleming boundary for the primary endpoint and the Pocock boundary for the secondary endpoint generally gives the best primary as well as secondary power performance. The Pocock boundary may be replaced by the ad hoc boundary for the secondary endpoint with a very little loss of secondary power if the practical concern is at issue. A clinical trial example is given to illustrate the methods.
我们考虑一项具有主要终点和次要终点的临床试验,其中仅在主要终点显著时才对次要终点进行检验。该试验采用两阶段的成组序贯程序。在任一终点错误得出显著性结论的家族性错误率(FWER)将被控制在名义水平α。主要终点的I型错误率通过选择任何α水平的停止边界来控制,例如标准的奥布赖恩 - 弗莱明边界或波科克边界。给定主要终点的任何特定α水平边界,我们研究确定次要终点边界以控制FWER的问题。我们对该FWER进行了分析和数值研究,发现当两个终点之间的相关系数ρ等于1时,FWER最大。对于主要和次要终点由奥布赖恩 - 弗莱明边界和波科克边界组成的四种组合,针对不同的ρ值计算了控制FWER所需的临界常数。针对次要终点提出了一个临时边界,以解决在某些应用中可能存在的实际问题。数值研究表明,主要终点的奥布赖恩 - 弗莱明边界和次要终点的波科克边界通常能给出最佳的主要和次要检验效能表现。如果实际问题存在,次要终点的波科克边界可以用临时边界代替,且次要检验效能仅有很小的损失。给出了一个临床试验实例来说明这些方法。