Cancer Research UK Centre for Epidemiology, Mathematics & Statistics, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, Barts & The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Charterhouse Square, LondonEC1 M 6BQ, UK.
Br J Cancer. 2010 Apr 27;102(9):1405-10. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6605619. Epub 2010 Mar 30.
Several studies have shown that testing for high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) types results in an improved sensitivity for CIN2+, compared with cytology, although with a somewhat lower specificity.
We obtained follow-up results, with at least one smear after participation in the HART study, which compared HPV testing (HC-II) with cytology as a primary screening modality.
With a median follow-up of 6 years, 42 additional cases of CIN2+ were identified; women who were HPV positive at baseline were more likely to develop CIN2+ than those who were HPV negative (hazard ratio (HR) 17.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) (9.3-31.6)) and the risk increased with increasing viral load. Compared with HPV-negative women (relative light unit (RLU) <1), the HR (95% CI) was 5.4 (1.6, 18.2) for 1-10 RLU and 25.5 (13.6, 47.9) for RLU > or = 10. Positive cytology (borderline or worse compared with negative) was also predictive of developing CIN2, although to a lesser extent (HR 8.7; 95% CI (4.5-17.1)). Only one case of CIN3 and three cases of CIN2 were found in women who showed a positive cytology result but were HPV negative at baseline.
After 5 years of follow-up, CIN2+ occurred in 0.23% of women who were HPV negative at baseline compared with 0.48% of women who showed a negative cytology result, indicating a much longer low-risk interval for CIN2+ after HPV testing.
多项研究表明,与细胞学相比,检测高危型人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)可提高 CIN2+的灵敏度,尽管特异性略低。
我们获得了后续结果,至少有一名妇女在参加 HART 研究后进行了涂片检查,该研究比较了 HPV 检测(HC-II)与细胞学作为主要筛查方式。
中位随访 6 年后,又发现了 42 例 CIN2+病例;基线 HPV 阳性的妇女比 HPV 阴性的妇女更有可能发展为 CIN2+(风险比(HR)17.2;95%置信区间(CI)(9.3-31.6)),病毒载量越高,风险越大。与 HPV 阴性妇女(相对光单位(RLU)<1)相比,1-10 RLU 的 HR(95%CI)为 5.4(1.6,18.2),RLU>或= 10 的 HR(95%CI)为 25.5(13.6,47.9)。细胞学阳性(与阴性相比为边界性或更差)也预示着发生 CIN2,但程度较小(HR 8.7;95%CI(4.5-17.1))。在基线 HPV 阴性但细胞学结果阳性的妇女中,仅发现 1 例 CIN3 和 3 例 CIN2。
5 年随访后,基线 HPV 阴性的妇女中 CIN2+发生率为 0.23%,而细胞学结果阴性的妇女中 CIN2+发生率为 0.48%,这表明 HPV 检测后 CIN2+的低危期要长得多。