Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.
Am J Epidemiol. 2010 Jun 1;171(11):1157-64. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwq071. Epub 2010 May 3.
Essential epidemiologic and virologic parameters must be measured to provide evidence for policy/public health recommendations and mathematical modeling concerning novel influenza A/H1N1 virus (NIV) infections. Therefore, from April through August of 2009, the authors collected nasopharyngeal specimens and information on antiviral medication and symptoms from households with NIV infection on a daily basis in Germany. Specimens were analyzed quantitatively by using reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction. In 36 households with 83 household contacts, 15 household contacts became laboratory-confirmed secondary cases of NIV. Among 47 contacts without antiviral prophylaxis, 12 became cases (secondary attack rate of 26%), and 1 (8%) of these was asymptomatic. The mean and median serial interval were 2.6 and 3 days, respectively (range: 1-3 days). On average, the authors detected viral RNA copies for 6.6 illness days (treated in time = 5.7 days, not treated in time = 7.1 days; P = 0.06), but they estimated that most patients cease to excrete viable virus by the fifth illness day. Shedding profiles were consistent with the number and severity of symptoms. Compared with other nasopharyngeal specimen types, nasal wash was the most sensitive. These results support the notion that epidemiologic and virologic characteristics of NIV are in many aspects similar to those of seasonal influenza.
必须测量基本的流行病学和病毒学参数,以提供有关新型甲型 H1N1 流感病毒(NIV)感染的政策/公共卫生建议和数学模型的证据。因此,作者从 2009 年 4 月到 8 月,每天在德国从 NIV 感染的家庭中收集鼻咽标本和有关抗病毒药物和症状的信息。通过使用逆转录-聚合酶链反应对标本进行定量分析。在 36 个有 83 个家庭接触者的家庭中,有 15 个家庭接触者成为实验室确诊的 NIV 继发病例。在 47 个未接受抗病毒预防的接触者中,有 12 人成为病例(继发攻击率为 26%),其中 1 人(8%)无症状。平均和中位数的系列间隔分别为 2.6 和 3 天(范围:1-3 天)。平均而言,作者检测到 6.6 天的病毒 RNA 拷贝(及时治疗= 5.7 天,未及时治疗= 7.1 天;P = 0.06),但他们估计大多数患者在第五天停止排出有活力的病毒。脱落谱与症状的数量和严重程度一致。与其他鼻咽标本类型相比,鼻洗液是最敏感的。这些结果支持这样的观点,即 NIV 的流行病学和病毒学特征在许多方面与季节性流感相似。