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评估各国的相对环境影响。

Evaluating the relative environmental impact of countries.

机构信息

The Environment Institute and School of Earth & Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2010 May 3;5(5):e10440. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0010440.

Abstract

Environmental protection is critical to maintain ecosystem services essential for human well-being. It is important to be able to rank countries by their environmental impact so that poor performers as well as policy 'models' can be identified. We provide novel metrics of country-specific environmental impact ranks - one proportional to total resource availability per country and an absolute (total) measure of impact - that explicitly avoid incorporating confounding human health or economic indicators. Our rankings are based on natural forest loss, habitat conversion, marine captures, fertilizer use, water pollution, carbon emissions and species threat, although many other variables were excluded due to a lack of country-specific data. Of 228 countries considered, 179 (proportional) and 171 (absolute) had sufficient data for correlations. The proportional index ranked Singapore, Korea, Qatar, Kuwait, Japan, Thailand, Bahrain, Malaysia, Philippines and Netherlands as having the highest proportional environmental impact, whereas Brazil, USA, China, Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, India, Russia, Australia and Peru had the highest absolute impact (i.e., total resource use, emissions and species threatened). Proportional and absolute environmental impact ranks were correlated, with mainly Asian countries having both high proportional and absolute impact. Despite weak concordance among the drivers of environmental impact, countries often perform poorly for different reasons. We found no evidence to support the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between impact and per capita wealth, although there was a weak reduction in environmental impact as per capita wealth increases. Using structural equation models to account for cross-correlation, we found that increasing wealth was the most important driver of environmental impact. Our results show that the global community not only has to encourage better environmental performance in less-developed countries, especially those in Asia, there is also a requirement to focus on the development of environmentally friendly practices in wealthier countries.

摘要

环境保护对于维护人类福祉所必需的生态系统服务至关重要。能够对各国的环境影响进行排名,以便识别表现不佳的国家和政策“典范”,这一点很重要。我们提供了一种新的国家特定环境影响排名指标——一种与每个国家的资源总量成比例的指标,以及一种绝对(总量)衡量影响的指标——明确避免纳入混淆的人类健康或经济指标。我们的排名基于自然森林损失、栖息地转换、海洋捕捞、化肥使用、水污染、碳排放和物种威胁,尽管由于缺乏国家特定数据,许多其他变量被排除在外。在所考虑的 228 个国家中,有 179 个(比例)和 171 个(绝对)国家有足够的数据进行相关性分析。比例指数将新加坡、韩国、卡塔尔、科威特、日本、泰国、巴林、马来西亚、菲律宾和荷兰列为环境影响比例最高的国家,而巴西、美国、中国、印度尼西亚、日本、墨西哥、印度、俄罗斯、澳大利亚和秘鲁则是资源使用总量、排放量和受威胁物种数量最高的国家(即绝对影响最大)。比例和绝对环境影响排名相关,主要亚洲国家的比例和绝对影响都很高。尽管环境影响的驱动因素之间的一致性较弱,但各国由于不同的原因往往表现不佳。我们没有发现证据支持环境库兹涅茨曲线假说,即环境影响与人均财富之间存在非线性关系,尽管随着人均财富的增加,环境影响确实有所减弱。使用结构方程模型来解释交叉相关性,我们发现财富增长是环境影响的最重要驱动因素。我们的研究结果表明,全球社会不仅要鼓励欠发达国家,特别是亚洲国家改善环境绩效,还需要关注富裕国家中环保实践的发展。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b7ce/2862718/7ad6d6184a55/pone.0010440.g001.jpg

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