Department of Health Policy and Management, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia 30322, USA.
J Adolesc Health. 2010 Jun;46(6):517-24. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2010.03.021.
After declining for over a decade, the birth rate in the United States for adolescents aged 15-19 years increased by 3% in 2006 and 1% again in 2007. We examined demographic and policy reasons for this trend at state level.
With data merged from multiple sources, descriptive analysis was used to detect state-level trends in birth rate and policy changes from 2000 to 2006, and variations in the distribution of teen birth rates, sex education, and family planning service policies, and demographic features across each state in 2006. Regression analysis was then conducted to estimate the effect of several reproductive health policies and demographic features on teen birth rates at the state level. Instrument variable was used to correct possible bias in the regression analysis.
Medicaid family planning waivers were found to reduce teen birth rates across all ages and races. Abstinence-only education programs were found to cause an increase in teen birth rates among white and black teens. The increasing Hispanic population is another driving force for high teen birth rates.
Both demographic factors and policy changes contributed to the increase in teen birth rates between 2000 and 2006. Future policy and behavioral interventions should focus on promoting and increasing access to contraceptive use. Family planning policies should be crafted to address the special needs of teens from different cultural backgrounds, especially Hispanics.
在美国,青少年(15-19 岁)的出生率在过去十年中持续下降,而在 2006 年却增长了 3%,2007 年又增长了 1%。我们在州一级检查了这一趋势的人口统计学和政策原因。
我们合并了多个来源的数据,采用描述性分析来检测 2000 年至 2006 年的出生率趋势和政策变化,以及 2006 年各州青少年出生率、性教育和计划生育服务政策以及人口统计学特征的分布差异。然后,我们进行回归分析,以估计几项生殖健康政策和人口统计学特征对州一级青少年出生率的影响。我们使用工具变量来纠正回归分析中可能存在的偏差。
我们发现医疗补助计划生育豁免政策降低了所有年龄段和种族的青少年出生率。仅禁欲教育计划被发现导致白人和黑人青少年的青少年出生率上升。不断增加的西班牙裔人口是导致青少年出生率居高不下的另一个驱动因素。
人口统计学因素和政策变化都促成了 2000 年至 2006 年青少年出生率的上升。未来的政策和行为干预措施应侧重于促进和增加避孕措施的使用。计划生育政策应针对来自不同文化背景的青少年的特殊需求进行制定,特别是针对西班牙裔青少年。